575
FXUS64 KBMX 121103
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
603 AM CDT SUN OCT 12 2025
..NEW AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1159 PM CDT SAT OCT 11 2025
DRY NORTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE AS SLOW-MOVING UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGH PERSISTS TO OUR EAST. TEMPERATURES WILL TREND UPWARD,
REACHING THE LOW TO MID 80S ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS A RIDGE
NUDGES IN FROM THE WEST.
87/GRANTHAM
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1159 PM CDT SAT OCT 11 2025
THE UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN WILL REMAIN RATHER STAGNANT FOR MUCH OF
THE UPCOMING WEEK AS A 500 MB CENTERED OVER THE ARK-LA-TEX REGION
CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN AND EXPAND. WE CAN EXPECT A CONTINUATION
OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND ZERO RAINFALL.
87/GRANTHAM
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 602 AM CDT SUN OCT 12 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED FOR THE ENTIRE TAF PERIOD.
/44/
FIRE WEATHER
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT WEEK.
MINIMUM RH VALUES OF 27-35 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY. 20 FOOT WINDS SHOULD REMAIN JUST BELOW RED FLAG
CRITERIA. HOWEVER, OUTDOOR BURNING REMAINS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED DUE
TO ONGOING AND WORSENING DROUGHT CONDITIONS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 80 48 82 52 / 0 0 0 0
ANNISTON 80 51 81 53 / 0 0 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 81 54 82 56 / 0 0 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 84 52 86 55 / 0 0 0 0
CALERA 82 53 83 55 / 0 0 0 0
AUBURN 80 55 82 56 / 0 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 84 53 85 54 / 0 0 0 0
TROY 81 51 83 54 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...87
LONG TERM....87
AVIATION.../44/
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