985
FXUS64 KBMX 131051
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
551 AM CDT MON OCT 13 2025
..NEW AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1157 PM CDT SUN OCT 12 2025
DRY NORTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE AS A SLOW-MOVING UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGH PERSISTS TO OUR EAST, WHILE A RIDGE EXPANDS ACROSS THE
ARK-LA-TEX REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO TREND UPWARD,
REACHING THE LOW TO MID 80S ON MONDAY AND PERHAPS THE UPPER 80S IN
A FEW LOCATIONS ON TUESDAY.
87/GRANTHAM
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1157 PM CDT SUN OCT 12 2025
THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN WILL REMAIN RATHER STAGNANT FOR WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY, THOUGH SOME MODEST PROGRESSION IS EXPECTED AS THE RIDGE
TO OUR WEST SHIFTS EASTWARD. EVENTUALLY THE RIDGE SHOULD MOVE FAR
ENOUGH TO THE EAST TO SUPPORT MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF AN
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EJECTING ACROSS THE PLAINS AND MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY. THIS SCENARIO WOULD RESULT IN ORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
STORMS IN THE WARM SECTOR AND ALONG A COLD FRONT SATURDAY NIGHT
INTO SUNDAY.
87/GRANTHAM
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 551 AM CDT MON OCT 13 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED FOR THE ENTIRE TAF PERIOD.
/44/
FIRE WEATHER
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY.
MINIMUM RH VALUES OF 27-35 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY BEFORE A MOISTENING TREND BEGINS ON FRIDAY.
20 FOOT WINDS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA. OUTDOOR
BURNING REMAINS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED DUE TO ONGOING DROUGHT
CONDITIONS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 81 52 82 52 / 0 0 0 0
ANNISTON 81 54 82 54 / 0 0 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 82 56 84 57 / 0 0 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 85 55 86 56 / 0 0 0 0
CALERA 84 56 85 56 / 0 0 0 0
AUBURN 81 57 83 58 / 0 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 86 55 87 56 / 0 0 0 0
TROY 84 54 85 55 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...87
LONG TERM....87
AVIATION.../44/
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page