499
FXUS64 KBMX 112345
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
545 PM CST TUE NOV 11 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 543 PM CST TUE NOV 11 2025
- DUE TO THE WIDESPREAD FREEZE THIS MORNING ACROSS ALL OF CENTRAL
ALABAMA, FREEZE WATCHES/WARNINGS AND FROST ADVISORIES HAVE
ENDED, AND WILL RESUME ON MARCH 15TH, 2026 FOR THE SPRING
GROWING SEASON.
- DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH LATE WEEK WITH GRADUAL
MODERATING TEMPERATURES.
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1241 PM CST TUE NOV 11 2025
THE FORECAST FOR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS IS FAIRLY TRANQUIL WITH A
SLOW MODERATING TEMPERATURES UPWARD THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK
AND INTO THE WEEKEND. A FRONT TRIES TO WORK THROUGH ON SUNDAY, BUT
THERE JUST IS NEVER A REBOUND OF MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE FRONT AS
RIDGING REMAINS IN PLACE OVER THE SOUTHEAST UNTIL THEN. AN
EFFECTIVE WARM FRONT WILL LIFT THROUGH OUR AREA ON MONDAY WITH THE
NEXT FRONTAL BOUNDARY SLIDING INTO THE REGION NEXT TUESDAY. THERE
IS QUITE A BIT OF DIFFERENCES WITH THE MODELS AFTER SATURDAY, BUT
THEY ARE TRENDING DRIER FOR SUNDAY, SO POPS ARE LIMITED TO THE
NORTHWEST FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY. IF THESE TRENDS CONTINUE WOULD
EXPECT MOST OF THE AREA TO BE DRY ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH
SHOWERS AND STORMS INCREASING IN CHANCES NEXT TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY
TIMEFRAME.
16
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 543 PM CST TUE NOV 11 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED FOR THE ENTIRE TAF PERIOD.
/44/
FIRE WEATHER
DROUGHT CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA THIS WEEK
AS DRY WEATHER CONTINUES. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE
AREA, RESULTING IN LIGHTER WINDS. RH VALUES WILL DROP INTO THE
20 TO 26 RANGE THIS AFTERNOON. THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY OF RAIN
CHANCES SUNDAY AND MONDAY, MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTH, BUT MODELS ARE
TRENDING DRIER WITH THIS, SO NO APPRECIABLE RAIN IS EXPECTED UNTIL
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 31 65 37 69 / 0 0 0 0
ANNISTON 34 65 40 68 / 0 0 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 36 65 44 70 / 0 0 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 35 70 46 73 / 0 0 0 0
CALERA 33 68 43 73 / 0 0 0 0
AUBURN 34 66 45 71 / 0 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 32 69 46 73 / 0 0 0 0
TROY 32 69 45 73 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION.../44/
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