139
FXUS64 KBMX 262013
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
213 PM CST WED NOV 26 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 152 PM CST WED NOV 26 2025
- CLEAR AND COLDER CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON THANKSGIVING DAY.
- A RAINY PATTERN SHOULD TAKE HOLD FOR SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY.
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 152 PM CST WED NOV 26 2025
THE TRANSITION TO A MORE ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAY FORECAST PERIOD. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING INTO THE SOUTHEAST STATES WILL HELP KEEP CONDITIONS DRY
ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH THE THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY AND INTO
THE EARLY WEEKEND. HOWEVER, A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE
TROUGHS WILL BRING SEVERAL WAVES OF SHOWERS TO OUR AREA, MOST
LIKELY STARTING SATURDAY NIGHT AND LASTING AS LONG AS TUESDAY.
WHILE IT WON'T RAIN THROUGH THAT ENTIRE PERIOD, THERE'S LIKELY TO
BE 2 TO 3 WAVES OF SHOWERS DURING THAT TIME, TOTALING ANOTHER 1
TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN. INSTABILITY APPEARS TO HAVE NO TIME TO REALLY
RECOVER, AND CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS PERIOD ARE
PRETTY REMOTE. AS FOR TEMPERATURES -- ALTHOUGH IT WILL BE
DECIDEDLY COLDER THAN IT HAS BEEN RECENTLY, NOTHING IN THE MODELS
SUGGEST ANYTHING THAT IS VASTLY OUT OF THE ORDINARY.
/61/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1109 AM CST WED NOV 26 2025
FOG AND RESIDUAL STRATUS CLOUDS HAVE LIFTED, AND VFR CONDITIONS
ARE NOW EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA TERMINALS THROUGH THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. WIND DIRECTIONS SHOULD STAY PRETTY MUCH THE SAME
THROUGH THE PERIOD, ALTHOUGH WIND SPEEDS AND GUSTINESS WILL COME
AND GO.
/61/
FIRE WEATHER
DRIER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION TODAY, WITH AFTERNOON RH
VALUES DROPPING TO 35-45 PERCENT. AFTERNOON RH VALUES WILL
DECREASE TO 25-35 PERCENT FOR THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. NORTHWEST
WINDS OF 10-15 MPH ARE EXPECTED ON THIS AFTERNOON, WITH A
DECREASE TO 7-11 MPH FOR THURSDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 31 51 26 48 / 0 0 0 0
ANNISTON 32 52 26 49 / 0 0 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 34 51 29 48 / 0 0 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 34 54 29 53 / 0 0 0 0
CALERA 32 55 29 53 / 0 0 0 0
AUBURN 36 54 31 51 / 0 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 34 55 30 53 / 0 0 0 0
TROY 35 55 31 52 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION.../61/
AVIATION.../61/
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