434
FXUS64 KBMX 270501
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1101 PM CST WED NOV 26 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1101 PM CST WED NOV 26 2025
- CLEAR AND COLDER CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON THANKSGIVING DAY.
- A RAINY PATTERN SHOULD TAKE HOLD FOR SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY.
DISCUSSION
(OVERNIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1101 PM CST WED NOV 26 2025
COLD ADVECTION AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY
WITH MORNING LOWS RANGING FROM THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. AN
EXTENDED PERIOD OF ENHANCED RAIN CHANCES SHOULD BEGIN SATURDAY
NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY AS WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW
BECOMES ESTABLISHED AT 500 MB ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CONUS. A FRONTAL
PASSAGE WILL BRING A RETURN TO COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS FOR
WEDNESDAY.
87/GRANTHAM
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1101 PM CST WED NOV 26 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH NORTH TO
NORTHWEST WINDS OF 5 TO 10 KNOTS AND GUSTS UP TO 15 KNOTS.
87/GRANTHAM
FIRE WEATHER
A VERY DRY AIRMASS WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION ON THURSDAY WITH
AFTERNOON RH VALUES FALLING TO 25-30 PERCENT. WIND SPEEDS SHOULD
FALL JUST SHORT OF REG FLAG CRITERIA. LIGHTER WINDS ARE EXPECTED
FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY, AND RH VALUES MAY DROP AS LOW AS 20
PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON IN OUR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 31 51 25 49 / 0 0 0 0
ANNISTON 32 51 26 49 / 0 0 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 33 52 28 50 / 0 0 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 34 55 29 53 / 0 0 0 0
CALERA 32 54 28 52 / 0 0 0 0
AUBURN 36 53 31 51 / 0 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 35 56 30 54 / 0 0 0 0
TROY 35 57 31 54 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...87/GRANTHAM
AVIATION...87/GRANTHAM
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