448  
FXUS64 KBMX 271206  
AFDBMX  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL  
606 AM CST THU NOV 27 2025  
   
..NEW AVIATION
 
 
   
KEY MESSAGES
 
 
UPDATED AT 558 AM CST THU NOV 27 2025  
 
- CLEAR AND COLDER CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON THANKSGIVING DAY.  
 
- A RAINY PATTERN SHOULD TAKE HOLD FOR SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH  
TUESDAY.  
 

 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
(OVERNIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)  
ISSUED AT 1101 PM CST WED NOV 26 2025  
 
COLD ADVECTION AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY  
WITH MORNING LOWS RANGING FROM THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. AN  
EXTENDED PERIOD OF ENHANCED RAIN CHANCES SHOULD BEGIN SATURDAY  
NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY AS WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW  
BECOMES ESTABLISHED AT 500 MB ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CONUS. A FRONTAL  
PASSAGE WILL BRING A RETURN TO COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS FOR  
WEDNESDAY.  
 
87/GRANTHAM  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
(12Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 558 AM CST THU NOV 27 2025  
 
A VFR FORECAST IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE 24 HOUR FORECAST WITH  
SURFACE RIDGING BUILDING INTO AL. N-NW WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY  
WITH MIXING ~6-12 KTS WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS DURING THE DAY.  
 
08  
 

 
   
FIRE WEATHER
 
 
A VERY DRY AIRMASS WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION ON THURSDAY WITH  
AFTERNOON RH VALUES FALLING TO 25-30 PERCENT. WIND SPEEDS SHOULD  
FALL JUST SHORT OF REG FLAG CRITERIA. LIGHTER WINDS ARE EXPECTED  
FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY, AND RH VALUES MAY DROP AS LOW AS 20  
PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON IN OUR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
GADSDEN 51 25 49 25 / 0 0 0 0  
ANNISTON 51 26 49 28 / 0 0 0 0  
BIRMINGHAM 52 28 50 30 / 0 0 0 0  
TUSCALOOSA 55 29 53 31 / 0 0 0 0  
CALERA 54 28 52 30 / 0 0 0 0  
AUBURN 53 31 51 32 / 0 0 0 0  
MONTGOMERY 56 30 54 31 / 0 0 0 0  
TROY 57 31 54 30 / 0 0 0 0  
 

 
   
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
NONE.  

 
 

 
 
DISCUSSION...87/GRANTHAM  
AVIATION...08  
 
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