401
FXUS64 KBMX 271725
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1125 AM CST THU NOV 27 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1122 AM CST THU NOV 27 2025
- CLEAR AND COLDER CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON THANKSGIVING DAY.
- A RAINY PATTERN SHOULD TAKE HOLD FOR SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY.
DISCUSSION
(OVERNIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1101 PM CST WED NOV 26 2025
COLD ADVECTION AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY
WITH MORNING LOWS RANGING FROM THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. AN
EXTENDED PERIOD OF ENHANCED RAIN CHANCES SHOULD BEGIN SATURDAY
NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY AS WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW
BECOMES ESTABLISHED AT 500 MB ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CONUS. A FRONTAL
PASSAGE WILL BRING A RETURN TO COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS FOR
WEDNESDAY.
87/GRANTHAM
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1122 AM CST THU NOV 27 2025
ESSENTIALLY JUST A WIND SPEED/GUST FORECAST FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA
TAF SITES OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. GUSTY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL
DIMINISH PRETTY QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET. OTHERWISE, ALL SIGNS POINT
TO CLEAR SKIES.
/61/
FIRE WEATHER
A VERY DRY AIRMASS WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON WITH
RH VALUES FALLING TO 25-30 PERCENT. WIND SPEEDS SHOULD FALL JUST
SHORT OF REG FLAG CRITERIA. LIGHTER WINDS ARE EXPECTED FOR FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY, AND RH VALUES MAY DROP AS LOW AS 20 PERCENT IN THE
AFTERNOON IN OUR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 51 25 49 25 / 0 0 0 0
ANNISTON 52 26 49 28 / 0 0 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 51 28 49 32 / 0 0 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 55 29 52 31 / 0 0 0 0 ON THURSDAY
CALERA 55 28 53 30 / 0 0 0 0
AUBURN 54 31 51 33 / 0 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 55 29 52 32 / 0 0 0 0
TROY 55 30 52 32 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...87/GRANTHAM
AVIATION.../61/
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