742
FXUS64 KBMX 071157
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
557 AM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 553 AM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
- MEDIUM TO HIGH CHANCE OF RAINFALL LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
THE EVENING. GENERALLY LESS THAN 0.25" OF RAIN EXPECTED.
- TEMPERATURES INTO NEXT WEEKEND WILL AGAIN FALL TO BELOW
AVERAGE, WITH AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF BELOW FREEZING NIGHTS
POSSIBLE.
DISCUSSION
(TODAY THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 223 AM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
TODAY THROUGH MONDAY
A LOW CLOUD DECK HAS OVERSPREAD CENTRAL ALABAMA OVER THE PAST
SEVERAL HOURS, WHICH HAS CAUSED TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB BACK INTO THE
40S IN SEVERAL AREAS AFTER HAVING BEEN IN THE 30S UNDER CLEAR SKIES.
PATCHY FOG IS ALSO DEVELOPING BUT SHOULD DISSIPATE BY A COUPLE HOURS
AFTER SUNRISE. THE LOW CLOUDS AND LIGHT WINDS SHOULD HINDER
DEVELOPMENT IN MANY AREAS MORE SO THAN EXPECTED SEVERAL HOURS
AGO. THIS LOW STRATUS IS LIKELY TO HANG AROUND MUCH OF THE DAY
TODAY, WITH OVERCAST SKIES AND HIGHS IN THE 50S.
LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA FROM LATE MORNING
INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS. AFTER NIGHTFALL, RAIN CHANCES INCREASE
DRAMATICALLY AS A SYSTEM PUSHES IN FROM THE WEST. RAIN WILL END BY
DAYBREAK MONDAY AS A COLD FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
A FEW DEGREES LOWER MONDAY AFTERNOON, WITH CLOUD COVER CLEARING OUT
BY THE LATE MORNING OR AFTERNOON.
TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY ACROSS CENTRAL
ALABAMA. MONDAY NIGHT/TUESDAY MORNING IS STILL ON TRACK TO BE A COLD
ONE, WITH LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOW 30S ACROSS MOST AREAS. HIGHS
THURSDAY ARE LIKELY TO BE IN THE 60S AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT,
WHICH WILL BRING A RETURN OF RAIN CHANCES THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.
BEHIND THE FRONT, TEMPERATURES CURRENTLY LOOK VERY COLD HEADING INTO
NEXT WEEKEND, WITH WIDESPREAD LOWS IN THE 20S FRIDAY NIGHT AND
SATURDAY NIGHT. SOME AREAS MAY REMAIN IN THE 30S ALL DAY SATURDAY.
WHILE DECENT MODEL AGREEMENT IS IN PLACE FOR SOME KIND OF COLD
BLAST, JUST HOW IS STILL SUBJECT TO CHANGE IN SUBSEQUENT FORECAST
UPDATES.
12
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 553 AM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
LOW CLOUDS ARE ONCE AGAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA. THE DENSE FOG
IS NOT AS WIDESPREAD SO WILL GENERALLY FOCUS ON THE LOW CLOUDS
THROUGH THE DAY. RAIN MOVES IN AROUND 00Z IN THE WEST AND 5/6Z IN
THE SOUTHEAST. VISIBILITY AND CEILINGS WILL ONCE AGAIN BE LOW
WITH THE RAIN.
16
FIRE WEATHER
LIGHT RAIN RETURNS TO THE AREA TONIGHT. MINRH VALUES WILL REMAIN
ABOVE 50% THROUGH MONDAY, AND ABOVE 40% TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THE
NEXT RAIN CHANCE COMES THURSDAY NIGHT. FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS REMAIN
LIMITED THROUGH THE WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 54 37 50 26 / 20 60 0 0
ANNISTON 56 40 51 29 / 20 60 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 55 41 50 30 / 20 60 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 58 41 53 30 / 20 60 0 0
CALERA 58 41 53 29 / 20 60 0 0
AUBURN 56 45 54 34 / 20 70 10 0
MONTGOMERY 58 44 54 31 / 20 60 0 0
TROY 58 45 55 32 / 30 70 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES: AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-CALHOUN-
CHAMBERS-CHEROKEE-CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-ELMORE-
ETOWAH-FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-MACON-
MARENGO-MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-RUSSELL-
SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-
WINSTON.
DISCUSSION...12
AVIATION...16
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