605
FXUS64 KBMX 081754
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1154 AM CST MON DEC 8 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1147 AM CST MON DEC 8 2025
- LOWS TONIGHT WILL FALL BELOW FREEZING FOR NEARLY ALL OF
CENTRAL ALABAMA.
- TEMPERATURES INTO NEXT WEEKEND WILL AGAIN FALL TO BELOW
AVERAGE, WITH A PERIOD OF BELOW FREEZING NIGHTS POSSIBLE.
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1147 AM CST MON DEC 8 2025
GOOD NEWS, BAD NEWS. THE BAD NEWS IS, TODAY IS GOING TO BE ANOTHER
CLOUDY, DREARY DAY GIVEN THE COOL TEMPERATURES AND LOW CLOUDS.
THANKFULLY, THESE CLOUDS WILL FINALLY MIX OUT BY TOMORROW MORNING AS
DRY AIR BEGINS TO FILTER INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE FRONT. THIS
MEANS SUNNY SKIES WILL FINALLY RETURN TO THE REGION, WITH CLEAR
SKIES EXPECTED THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WORKWEEK. WITH THAT BEING
SAID, CLOUDS AND RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN BY THURSDAY AHEAD OF THE
NEXT TROUGH INTO THE WEEKEND.
IF YOU REMEMBER IN MY DISCUSSION YESTERDAY, I MENTIONED THAT THE
COLD WEATHER THIS WEEKEND WILL HEAVILY DEPEND ON HOW FAR SOUTH THE
TROUGH ENDS UP DROPPING. EVEN IN THE LAST 24 HOURS, LONG-RANGE
GUIDANCE HAS ALREADY BACKED OFF ON THE DEEP, SECONDARY LOW THAT
WOULD HAVE PUSHED THIS TROUGH WELL INTO THE REGION. NOW, THIS IS
SOMEWHAT EXPECTED GIVEN THAT WE'RE STILL SIX DAYS OUT, AND THIS IS
QUITE LITERALLY AN EBB AND FLOW FORECAST GIVEN THE NATURE OF LOW
PRESSURES. IT'S ENTIRELY POSSIBLE THIS HAPPENS 12 MORE TIMES THE
NEXT SIX DAYS. SUPER COLD ONE DAY, MORE "MILD" THE NEXT. AS SUCH,
THE TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND WILL CERTAINLY BE SOMETHING TO KEEP AN
EYE ON, IT'S JUST A MATTER OF "HOW LOW CAN WE GO?"
/44/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1147 AM CST MON DEC 8 2025
LOW CIGS ARE EXPECTED ONCE MORE FOR MOST OF THIS TAF PERIOD, BEFORE
SKIES FINALLY BEGIN TO CLEAR TOMORROW MORNING. MOST TERMINALS WILL
CARRY MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS, WITH
WIDESPREAD VFR RETURNING BY 09/15Z.
/44/
FIRE WEATHER
MINRH VALUES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN ABOVE 40% FOR MOST OF THE NEXT
WEEK, WITH NO WIDESPREAD RAINFALL CHANCES IN THE FORECAST. EVEN WITH
NO RAINFALL ANTICIPATED, FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL REMAIN LITTLE TO
NON FOR MOST OF THIS WEEK GIVEN WET FUELS. HOWEVER, BY THIS WEEKEND,
FUELS MAY DRY BACK OUT, AND MINRH VALUES MAY DROP BACK INTO THE 30%
RANGE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 49 24 51 32 / 0 0 0 0
ANNISTON 51 27 53 34 / 0 0 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 49 28 52 36 / 0 0 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 52 28 53 34 / 0 0 0 0
CALERA 53 27 55 34 / 0 0 0 0
AUBURN 54 31 53 34 / 0 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 54 29 53 32 / 0 0 0 0
TROY 54 29 54 31 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION.../44/
AVIATION.../44/
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