141
FXUS64 KBMX 090520
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1120 PM CST MON DEC 8 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1116 PM CST MON DEC 8 2025
- LOWS TONIGHT WILL FALL BELOW FREEZING FOR NEARLY ALL OF
CENTRAL ALABAMA.
- SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THIS WEEK WITH LITTLE CHANCE
FOR RAIN UNTIL THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
(TODAY THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1116 PM CST MON DEC 8 2025
HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD INTO THE REGION TODAY, LEADING TO
SOME CLEARING OF THE PERSISTENT CLOUD COVER THAT WE'VE SEEN OVER THE
PAST FEW DAYS. SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNS WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF ANOTHER
FRONTAL PASSAGE, BUT DEEP MOISTURE RETURN WILL BE LACKING, SO WE'RE
NOT EXPECTING ANY SIGNIFICANT RAIN CHANCES WITH THE NEXT FRONTAL
PASSAGE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. RAIN-FREE WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
ANOTHER WAVE IS EXPECTED TO DIP THROUGH THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
OVER THE WEEKEND. AN EFFECTIVE WARM FRONT APPEARS TO LIFT NORTHWARD
THROUGH THE AREA ON SATURDAY BEFORE THE MAIN COLD FRONT PUSHES
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY, LEADING TO INCREASED RAIN
CHANCES. KEEPING THE OVERALL PROBABILITIES LOW FOR NOW AS COVERAGE
OF ANY RAINFALL STILL REMAINS UNCERTAIN.
25/OWEN
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1116 PM CST MON DEC 8 2025
LOW CEILINGS APPEAR TO BE THE MAIN CONCERN OVER THE NEXT 6 - 10
HOURS WITH MVFR STRATUS REMAINING PERSISTENT ACROSS THE NORTHERN
HALF OF CENTRAL AL. HREF PROBABILITIES STILL POINT TO HIGH
CHANCES OF IFR CIGS FOR BHM, EET, AND TCL FROM ROUGHLY 4-6AM TO
9AM. AFTER THAT, CEILINGS IMPROVE AND CLOUDS BECOME MORE SCATTERED
AS WE GO INTO THE AFTERNOON AND SHOULD REMAIN THAT WAY THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD.
25/OWEN
FIRE WEATHER
MINRHS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN ABOVE 40% FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS
WITH LITTLE TO NO RAIN CHANCES THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.
WE'LL SEE SOUTHERLY FLOW TODAY, SHIFTING MORE WESTERLY THEN
NORTHERLY WITH OUR NEXT FRONTAL PASSAGE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 27 51 32 59 / 0 0 0 0
ANNISTON 28 53 34 60 / 0 0 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 29 51 36 59 / 0 0 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 29 53 34 61 / 0 0 0 0
CALERA 29 54 34 62 / 0 0 0 0
AUBURN 32 52 34 60 / 0 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 32 53 32 63 / 0 0 0 0
TROY 32 53 31 63 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...25/OWEN
AVIATION...25/OWEN
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