733
FXUS64 KBMX 091131
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
531 AM CST TUE DEC 9 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 521 AM CST TUE DEC 9 2025
- SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THIS WEEK WITH LITTLE CHANCE
FOR RAIN UNTIL THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
(TODAY THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1116 PM CST MON DEC 8 2025
HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD INTO THE REGION TODAY, LEADING TO
SOME CLEARING OF THE PERSISTENT CLOUD COVER THAT WE'VE SEEN OVER THE
PAST FEW DAYS. SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNS WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF ANOTHER
FRONTAL PASSAGE, BUT DEEP MOISTURE RETURN WILL BE LACKING, SO WE'RE
NOT EXPECTING ANY SIGNIFICANT RAIN CHANCES WITH THE NEXT FRONTAL
PASSAGE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. RAIN-FREE WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
ANOTHER WAVE IS EXPECTED TO DIP THROUGH THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
OVER THE WEEKEND. AN EFFECTIVE WARM FRONT APPEARS TO LIFT NORTHWARD
THROUGH THE AREA ON SATURDAY BEFORE THE MAIN COLD FRONT PUSHES
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY, LEADING TO INCREASED RAIN
CHANCES. KEEPING THE OVERALL PROBABILITIES LOW FOR NOW AS COVERAGE
OF ANY RAINFALL STILL REMAINS UNCERTAIN.
25/OWEN
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 521 AM CST TUE DEC 9 2025
LOW CLOUDS HAVE ERODED ALREADY ACROSS THE AREA AS A CLIPPER SYSTEM
WORKS INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH. WITH THE CLOUDS SCOURING OUT
EARLIER THAN FORECAST PATCHY FOG HAS DEVELOPED IN SPOTS. ANY FOG
SHOULD DISSIPATE BY 15Z. OTHERWISE VARIABLE HIGH CLOUDS WITH LIGHT
WINDS FOR MOST SITES. AUO MAY SEE WINDS OF 7 TO 8 KTS THROUGH THE
MORNING BEFORE DROPPING TO LESS THAN 7 KTS AFTER 18Z.
16
FIRE WEATHER
MINRHS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN ABOVE 40% FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS
WITH LITTLE TO NO RAIN CHANCES THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.
WE'LL SEE SOUTHERLY FLOW TODAY, SHIFTING MORE WESTERLY THEN
NORTHERLY WITH OUR NEXT FRONTAL PASSAGE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 51 32 59 30 / 0 0 0 0
ANNISTON 53 34 59 33 / 0 0 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 52 37 59 35 / 0 0 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 54 35 61 35 / 0 0 0 0
CALERA 54 34 61 34 / 0 0 0 0
AUBURN 53 34 59 37 / 0 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 53 32 62 37 / 0 0 0 0
TROY 53 32 63 37 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...25/OWEN
AVIATION...16
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