399
FXUS64 KBMX 132024
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
224 PM CST SAT DEC 13 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 223 PM CST SAT DEC 13 2025
- COLD AND WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL
FALL THROUGH THE DAY WITH WIND CHILLS IN THE 20S FOR THE
NORTHERN HALF OF CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
- DANGEROUSLY COLD TEMPERATURES EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH
EARLY MONDAY MORNING, WITH MINIMUM WIND CHILL VALUES FROM 7
DEGREES NORTH TO 15 DEGREES SOUTH. A COLD WEATHER ADVISORY IS
EFFECT FROM 6 PM SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH 7 AM MONDAY MORNING.
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 223 PM CST SAT DEC 13 2025
LIGHT RAIN IS ONGOING IN SPOTS ACROSS SOUTHERN COUNTIES IN CENTRAL
ALABAMA. MUCH OF THE AREA IS CURRENTLY PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY, AND
MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE AREA AFTER 6 PM.
SOME CAM GUIDANCE HINTS THAT SHOWERS SHOULD FORM INTO A LINE ALONG
ANS SOUTHEAST OF INTERSTATE 85, WITH A RUMBLE OR TWO OF THUNDER NOT
OUT OF THE QUESTION BEFORE THE LINE MOVES OUT OF THE SOUTHEASTERN
COUNTIES. RAIN CHANCES DECREASE QUICKLY AFTER 6 AM, WITH A FEW LIGHT
SHOWERS LINGERING ACROSS THE SOUTH OR SOUTHEAST THROUGH 9 OR 10 AM
AT THE LATEST.
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL PICK UP DRAMATICALLY ON SUNDAY BEHIND THE COLD
FRONT, WITH GUSTS 20-25 MPH FORECAST. SKIES SHOULD CLEAR BY MIDDAY
AS TEMPERATURES STRUGGLE TO GET OUT OF THE 30S IN MOST AREAS ALONG
AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL QUICKLY AFTER
DARK, REACHING THE MID TO UPPER TEENS IN ALL NORTH AND CENTRAL
LOCATIONS SUNDAY NIGHT. LOW 20S ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN
AREAS. WIND CHILL VALUES WILL BE IN THE 7 TO 15 DEGREE RANGE EARLY
MONDAY MORNING, WITH THE LOWEST VALUES OCCURRING IN MANY AREAS FROM
10 PM TO 3 AM. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE BY MONDAY MORNING, WITH WIND CHILL
VALUES BEING CLOSE TO AIR TEMPERATURES BY DAYBREAK (MID TEENS NORTH
TO LOW 20S SOUTH).
HIGHS WILL REBOUND INTO 40S BY MONDAY AFTERNOON, FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER
NIGHT OF LOW TO MID 20S AREA-WIDE. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 50S TUESDAY,
UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S WEDNESDAY, AND 60S TO AROUND 70 ON THURSDAY.
RAIN CHANCES LOOK TO RETURN BY THURSDAY, ENDING BY FRIDAY MORNING.
12
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1150 AM CST SAT DEC 13 2025
LOW CLOUDS ARE STILL HANGING ON AT AUO AND MGM, WITH MVFR CIGS
POSSIBLE ON AND OFF THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. LOW TO MID-LEVEL CLOUD
COVER IS BUILDING BACK INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA FROM THE SOUTHWEST IN
ADVANCE OF INCREASING RAIN CHANCES THIS EVENING. LIGHT RAIN
MENTIONED IN TAF FOR ALL SITES AFTER 01Z, LASTING THROUGH 06Z AT
TCL, BHM, AND EET AND 09Z AT MGM AND AUO. MVFR TO IFR CIGS WILL
BUILD BACK IN OVERNIGHT, DURING AND JUST AFTER RAIN CHANCES. A COLD
FRONT WILL CLEAR CLOUDS TOMORROW MORNING, WITH VFR CONDITIONS
EXPECTED AFTER 11-13Z. WINDS WILL DRAMATICALLY INCREASE FROM THE
NORTH BEHIND THE FRONT, WITH GUSTS UP TO 22 KTS.
12
FIRE WEATHER
SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE STATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT AHEAD OF AN ARCTIC FRONT THAT WILL
BRING MUCH COLDER AND DRIER AIR INTO THE AREA SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
BREEZY TO GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS ARE FORECAST SUNDAY WITH 20 FOOT
WINDS 12-18 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 15-22 MPH. MIN RHS WILL FALL INTO
THE 25-40% RANGE, THOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN IN THE 30S-40S.
LOW RHS WILL PERSIST INTO MONDAY, IN THE 20-30% RANGE, WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S. WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER MONDAY, GENERALLY
LESS THAN 5 MPH. CENTRAL ALABAMA WILL BE RAIN-FREE SUNDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 26 36 16 43 / 50 0 0 0
ANNISTON 30 38 16 45 / 70 0 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 28 36 18 43 / 60 0 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 31 40 18 45 / 60 0 0 0
CALERA 30 40 17 46 / 70 0 0 0
AUBURN 41 48 21 44 / 90 10 0 0
MONTGOMERY 40 48 21 46 / 90 10 0 0
TROY 43 52 21 46 / 80 20 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 6 PM SUNDAY TO 7 AM CST MONDAY FOR
THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES: AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-
CALHOUN-CHAMBERS-CHEROKEE-CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-
ELMORE-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-
MACON-MARENGO-MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-
RUSSELL-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-
WALKER-WINSTON.
DISCUSSION...12
AVIATION...12
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