512
FXUS64 KBMX 031740
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1140 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1140 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2026
- WELL ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES RETURN NEXT WEEK.
- A PERIOD OF RAIN-FREE WEATHER IS FORECAST THROUGH MID NEXT
WEEK WITH ANOTHER CHANCE FOR RAIN LATE IN THE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1140 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2026
FOR THE REST OF TODAY, CLOUDINESS WILL PERSIST WITH JUST A FEW
LINGERING SHOWERS FOR THE FAR SOUTHEAST PORTION OF OUR FORECAST
AREA (EUFAULA, TROY, UNION SPRINGS VICINITY). THAT ACTIVITY WILL
BE OUT OF HERE FAIRLY SHORTLY AS THE FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE
SOUTHEASTWARD.
TAME WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FROM SUNDAY TO MIDWEEK AS
NEAR-ZONAL FLOW SETS UP ACROSS THE REGION. WHILE RAIN-FREE
WEATHER IS EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME, INTERVALS OF CLOUDINESS
SHOULD OCCUR.
THE NEXT TROUGH IS SHOWN TO COME OUR WAY LATE NEXT WEEK WITH AN
OPPORTUNITY FOR SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. GFS/ECMWF
ENSEMBLES VARY REGARDING THE TIMING AND WHETHER THIS SYSTEM WILL
INVOLVE ONE OR MORE BATCHES OF ACTIVITY. IN TURN, PRECIPITATION
CHANCES ARE SPREAD OUT OVER A FEW DAYS. WE'LL SEE WHERE THE TRENDS
TAKE US.
ANOTHER PERIOD OF WELL ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES IS FORECAST NEXT
WEEK, PEAKING WEDNESDAY TO FRIDAY, JUST AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING
FRONT. FORECAST LOW TEMPERATURES ARE NEAR WHERE DAYTIME HIGH
TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE FOR EARLY JANUARY. A PATTERN OF 70S/50S FOR
HIGHS/LOWS IS ON THE BOARD FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL ALABAMA BASED ON
CURRENT PROJECTIONS.
89^GSATTERWHITE
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)CENTRAL ALABAMA
ISSUED AT 1140 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2026
A MIX OF MVFR-IFR CEILINGS ARE PRESENT ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA AS
OF 17:30Z. A TREND TO PRIMARILY MVFR IS FORECAST THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING WITH EVENTUAL VFR LATER TONIGHT FOR MOST CENTRAL
ALABAMA TERMINALS. HOWEVER, THERE WILL BE SOME VARIABILITY IN
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION. A LOW CLOUD DECK IS PROJECTED TO
REDEVELOP ACROSS SOUTH/SOUTHEAST ALABAMA OVERNIGHT, WHICH IS
LIKELY TO AFFECT AUO, PERHAPS MGM.
89^GSATTERWHITE
FIRE WEATHER
A COUPLE SHOWERS MAY AFFECT THE FAR SOUTHEAST SECTION OF CENTRAL
ALABAMA THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON (EUFAULA, TROY, UNION SPRINGS
VICINITY); OTHERWISE, A PERIOD OF RAIN-FREE WEATHER IS EXPECTED
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH ANOTHER CHANCE FOR RAIN
THEREAFTER.
DAILY MINRHS ARE EXPECTED TO BE WELL ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS
THROUGH NEXT WEEK. WINDS WILL BE NORTHERLY TODAY AND SUNDAY, BETWEEN
5-10 MPH AND THEN 5 MPH OR LESS, RESPECTIVELY. SOUTHERLY FLOW IS
EXPECTED NEXT WEEK WITH SPEEDS VARIED NEAR 5-10 MPH FROM DAY TO DAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 60 34 59 36 / 10 0 0 0
ANNISTON 60 37 60 39 / 30 0 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 59 37 58 41 / 10 0 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 61 37 60 40 / 10 0 0 0
CALERA 60 37 61 40 / 20 0 0 0
AUBURN 63 46 63 45 / 70 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 67 44 64 43 / 60 0 0 0
TROY 69 46 65 43 / 50 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...89^GSATTERWHITE
AVIATION...89^GSATTERWHITE
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