350
FXUS64 KBMX 032316
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
516 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 515 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2026
- WELL ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES RETURN NEXT WEEK.
- A PERIOD OF RAIN-FREE WEATHER IS FORECAST THROUGH MID NEXT
WEEK WITH ANOTHER CHANCE FOR RAIN LATE IN THE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1140 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2026
FOR THE REST OF TODAY, CLOUDINESS WILL PERSIST WITH JUST A FEW
LINGERING SHOWERS FOR THE FAR SOUTHEAST PORTION OF OUR FORECAST
AREA (EUFAULA, TROY, UNION SPRINGS VICINITY). THAT ACTIVITY WILL
BE OUT OF HERE FAIRLY SHORTLY AS THE FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE
SOUTHEASTWARD.
TAME WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FROM SUNDAY TO MIDWEEK AS
NEAR-ZONAL FLOW SETS UP ACROSS THE REGION. WHILE RAIN-FREE
WEATHER IS EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME, INTERVALS OF CLOUDINESS
SHOULD OCCUR.
THE NEXT TROUGH IS SHOWN TO COME OUR WAY LATE NEXT WEEK WITH AN
OPPORTUNITY FOR SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. GFS/ECMWF
ENSEMBLES VARY REGARDING THE TIMING AND WHETHER THIS SYSTEM WILL
INVOLVE ONE OR MORE BATCHES OF ACTIVITY. IN TURN, PRECIPITATION
CHANCES ARE SPREAD OUT OVER A FEW DAYS. WE'LL SEE WHERE THE TRENDS
TAKE US.
ANOTHER PERIOD OF WELL ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES IS FORECAST NEXT
WEEK, PEAKING WEDNESDAY TO FRIDAY, JUST AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING
FRONT. FORECAST LOW TEMPERATURES ARE NEAR WHERE DAYTIME HIGH
TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE FOR EARLY JANUARY. A PATTERN OF 70S/50S FOR
HIGHS/LOWS IS ON THE BOARD FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL ALABAMA BASED ON
CURRENT PROJECTIONS.
89^GSATTERWHITE
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 515 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2026
A MIX OF MVFR CEILINGS ARE PRESENT ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. A
TREND TO EVENTUAL VFR LATER TONIGHT FOR MOST CENTRAL ALABAMA
TERMINALS. HOWEVER, THERE WILL BE SOME VARIABILITY IN CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE REGION. A LOW CLOUD DECK/AREAS OF FOG IS PROJECTED TO
REDEVELOP ACROSS SOUTH/SOUTHEAST ALABAMA OVERNIGHT, WHICH IS
LIKELY TO AFFECT AUO, PERHAPS MGM. AUO WILL MOST LIKELY SEE LIFR
WITH VISIBILITY DOWN TO 1/2SM AT TIMES WITH DECKS AT OR BELOW 300
FEET. THIS WILL LAST TO 15Z THEN VFR IMPROVEMENT WITH LIGHT
WINDS.
16
FIRE WEATHER
A COUPLE SHOWERS MAY AFFECT THE FAR SOUTHEAST SECTION OF CENTRAL
ALABAMA THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON (EUFAULA, TROY, UNION SPRINGS
VICINITY); OTHERWISE, A PERIOD OF RAIN-FREE WEATHER IS EXPECTED
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH ANOTHER CHANCE FOR RAIN
THEREAFTER.
DAILY MINRHS ARE EXPECTED TO BE WELL ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS
THROUGH NEXT WEEK. WINDS WILL BE NORTHERLY TODAY AND SUNDAY, BETWEEN
5-10 MPH AND THEN 5 MPH OR LESS, RESPECTIVELY. SOUTHERLY FLOW IS
EXPECTED NEXT WEEK WITH SPEEDS VARIED NEAR 5-10 MPH FROM DAY TO DAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 34 59 36 63 / 0 0 0 0
ANNISTON 37 60 39 65 / 0 0 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 36 58 41 63 / 0 0 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 37 60 40 65 / 0 0 0 0
CALERA 37 61 40 65 / 0 0 0 0
AUBURN 45 63 45 65 / 0 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 43 64 43 68 / 0 0 0 0
TROY 45 65 43 67 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...89^GSATTERWHITE
AVIATION...16
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