832
FXUS64 KBMX 040213
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
813 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 808 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2026
- LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCES OF PATCHY DENSE FOG DEVELOPING IN THE
SOUTHEAST BY SUNDAY MORNING.
- WELL ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES RETURN NEXT WEEK.
- A PERIOD OF RAIN-FREE WEATHER IS FORECAST THROUGH MID NEXT
WEEK WITH ANOTHER CHANCE FOR RAIN LATE IN THE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
(TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 808 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2026
THE RAIN HAS ENDED AND THE SKIES ARE CLEARING FROM NORTH TO SOUTH.
WITH THIS CLEARING THE MORE MOIST AIRMASS IN THE SOUTHEAST, SOME
LOW CLOUDS AND AREAS OF FOG WILL LIKELY DEVELOP OVERNIGHT. WENT
AHEAD AND ADDED IN FOR THIS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST WITH THE LOWEST
VISIBILITIES. WILL NEED TO MONITOR THE TRENDS TONIGHT TO SEE IF WE
CAN GET WIDESPREAD ENOUGH COVERAGE FOR A DENSE FOG ADVISORY
CLOSER TO SUNRISE. OTHERWISE NO CHANGES MADE TO THE REST OF THE
WEEKEND AS THE SUN WILL RETURN TOMORROW TO THE WHOLE AREA.
16
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION:
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1140 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2026
FOR THE REST OF TODAY, CLOUDINESS WILL PERSIST WITH JUST A FEW
LINGERING SHOWERS FOR THE FAR SOUTHEAST PORTION OF OUR FORECAST
AREA (EUFAULA, TROY, UNION SPRINGS VICINITY). THAT ACTIVITY WILL
BE OUT OF HERE FAIRLY SHORTLY AS THE FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE
SOUTHEASTWARD.
TAME WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FROM SUNDAY TO MIDWEEK AS
NEAR-ZONAL FLOW SETS UP ACROSS THE REGION. WHILE RAIN-FREE
WEATHER IS EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME, INTERVALS OF CLOUDINESS
SHOULD OCCUR.
THE NEXT TROUGH IS SHOWN TO COME OUR WAY LATE NEXT WEEK WITH AN
OPPORTUNITY FOR SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. GFS/ECMWF
ENSEMBLES VARY REGARDING THE TIMING AND WHETHER THIS SYSTEM WILL
INVOLVE ONE OR MORE BATCHES OF ACTIVITY. IN TURN, PRECIPITATION
CHANCES ARE SPREAD OUT OVER A FEW DAYS. WE'LL SEE WHERE THE TRENDS
TAKE US.
ANOTHER PERIOD OF WELL ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES IS FORECAST NEXT
WEEK, PEAKING WEDNESDAY TO FRIDAY, JUST AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING
FRONT. FORECAST LOW TEMPERATURES ARE NEAR WHERE DAYTIME HIGH
TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE FOR EARLY JANUARY. A PATTERN OF 70S/50S FOR
HIGHS/LOWS IS ON THE BOARD FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL ALABAMA BASED ON
CURRENT PROJECTIONS.
89^GSATTERWHITE
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 515 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2026
A MIX OF MVFR CEILINGS ARE PRESENT ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. A
TREND TO EVENTUAL VFR LATER TONIGHT FOR MOST CENTRAL ALABAMA
TERMINALS. HOWEVER, THERE WILL BE SOME VARIABILITY IN CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE REGION. A LOW CLOUD DECK/AREAS OF FOG IS PROJECTED TO
REDEVELOP ACROSS SOUTH/SOUTHEAST ALABAMA OVERNIGHT, WHICH IS
LIKELY TO AFFECT AUO, PERHAPS MGM. AUO WILL MOST LIKELY SEE LIFR
WITH VISIBILITY DOWN TO 1/2SM AT TIMES WITH DECKS AT OR BELOW 300
FEET. THIS WILL LAST TO 15Z THEN VFR IMPROVEMENT WITH LIGHT
WINDS.
16
FIRE WEATHER
DAILY MINRHS ARE EXPECTED TO BE WELL ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS
THROUGH NEXT WEEK. WINDS WILL BE NORTHERLY TODAY AND SUNDAY,
BETWEEN 5-10 MPH AND THEN 5 MPH OR LESS, RESPECTIVELY. SOUTHERLY
FLOW IS EXPECTED NEXT WEEK WITH SPEEDS VARIED NEAR 5-10 MPH FROM
DAY TO DAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 34 59 36 63 / 0 0 0 0
ANNISTON 37 60 39 65 / 0 0 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 36 58 41 63 / 0 0 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 37 60 40 65 / 0 0 0 0
CALERA 37 61 40 65 / 0 0 0 0
AUBURN 45 63 45 65 / 0 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 43 64 43 68 / 0 0 0 0
TROY 45 65 43 67 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...16
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