349
FXUS64 KBMX 061826
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1226 PM CST TUE JAN 6 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1219 PM CST TUE JAN 6 2026
- WELL ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES RETURN THIS WEEK, APPROACHING
RECORD TERRITORY BY WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
- A LOW CHANCE FOR SEVERE STORMS MAY MATERIALIZE FRIDAY THROUGH
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING, BUT UNCERTAINTY IS HIGH AT THIS TIME.
DISCUSSION
(TODAY THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 215 AM CST TUE JAN 6 2026
ACTIVE SOUTHERN JET STREAM WILL KEEP CHANGEABLE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS. WE WILL START OUT
WITH LOW CLOUDS AND FOG THIS MORNING, WITH SOME DENSE FOG ALREADY
BEING REPORTED IN SOME OF OUR SOUTHERN COUNTIES AND IN NEARBY WEST
CENTRAL GEORGIA. WENT AHEAD AND ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY FOR
THIS AREA, AND WILL CERTAINLY NEED TO KEEP AN EYE ON ANY NORTHWARD
EXPANSION OF THE DENSE FOG LATER THIS MORNING. DESPITE THE GLOOMY
START, WARM ADVECTION WILL STILL HELP TO BRING HIGHER THAN NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. IN FACT, ADDED
SUNSHINE ON WEDNESDAY WILL PUSH TEMPS EVEN WARMER ON WEDNESDAY.
THE PRECIPITATION FORECAST IS A BIT TRICKY (AS WELL AS TRICKY TO
MESSAGE), AS THE POPS TODAY ARE TIED TO THE CHANCE THAT PATCHES
OF DRIZZLE COULD LEAD TO MEASURABLE RAIN.
THE WARM SPELL WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. A
SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL BRING MORE ROBUST
RAIN CHANCES TO OUR AREA THURSDAY AND (ESPECIALLY) FRIDAY, WITH
THE APPROACH OF AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT. HIGHEST RAIN TOTALS
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS UNSETTLED AND POTENTIALLY STORMY PERIOD WILL
LIKELY COME FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN THE NORTHWEST
COUNTIES, WITH PERHAPS AN INCH TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN THERE.
THE COLD FRONT ULTIMATELY PUSHES THROUGH AND EXITS THE AREA ON
SATURDAY, BRINGING AN END TO THE RAIN. TEMPERATURES BEHIND THE
FRONT WILL BE NOTICEABLY COLDER THAN THOSE OF THE PRECEDING
SEVERAL DAYS. BUT AT THIS POINT IT LOOKS LIKE NOTHING OUT OF THE
ORDINARY FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. DRY AND SEASONABLE WEATHER IS THEN
FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTO THE START OF NEXT WEEK.
/61/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1219 PM CST TUE JAN 6 2026
IFR TO VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS ALL TERMINALS THROUGH
AT LEAST 21Z WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MGM AND AUO WHERE CLOUDS HAVE
BEEN ABLE TO MIX OUT. LOW STRATUS AND -DZ WILL CONTINUE FOR ALL
REMAINING TERMINALS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON BEFORE SLOW MIXING TO
VFR CATEGORY IS FORECAST THROUGH 00Z AND THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.
SOUTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
BETWEEN 15 AND 20 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND
DIMINISH OVERNIGHT. LOW STRATUS AND/OR FOG WILL RETURN OVERNIGHT
FOR ALL TERMINALS WITH IFR TO LIFR CONDITIONS FORECAST ONCE AGAIN.
LOW STRATUS AND REDUCED VIS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST 15Z
WEDNESDAY.
56/GDG
FIRE WEATHER
NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS MIN RHS REMAIN
IN THE 40-80% RANGE. A WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEK
WITH INCREASING MOISTURE ADVECTION TO THE REGION.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 52 70 46 71 / 10 0 0 10
ANNISTON 54 71 49 71 / 10 0 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 54 71 52 71 / 10 0 0 10
TUSCALOOSA 55 73 53 74 / 10 0 0 10
CALERA 54 74 51 72 / 10 0 0 0
AUBURN 58 73 55 72 / 10 10 0 10
MONTGOMERY 59 76 54 76 / 10 10 0 10
TROY 60 75 54 74 / 10 10 0 10
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION.../61/
AVIATION...56/GDG
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page