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FXUS64 KBMX 110509
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1109 PM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1107 PM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
- COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WEEK AHEAD,
BRINGING US BACK TO SEASONABLE RANGES.
- A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS SHOULD MOVE ACROSS THE REGION SOMETIME
WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY; OTHERWISE, THE REST OF THE UPCOMING
WEEK SHOULD FEATURE FAIR- WEATHER CONDITIONS.
DISCUSSION
(SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1107 PM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
DRY AND COLDER WEATHER EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF NEXT
WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN ACROSS THE REGION. MORNING LOWS WILL
DROP INTO THE 20S BY MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S
TO LOW 50S.
ANOTHER TROUGH DIGS DOWN INTO THE REGION WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY
LEADING TO INCREASED RAIN CHANCES, THOUGH MOISTURE RETURN AHEAD OF
THIS TROUGH IS LIMITED. THIS SHOULD KEEP THE COVERAGE OF ANY RAIN
DEVELOPMENT ON THE LOWER SIDE, SO I'VE KEPT RAIN CHANCES IN THE 20-
30% RANGE THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. SOME GUIDANCE TRIES TO PICK UP
ON SOME WINTER MIX EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AS THE TROUGH SWINGS
THROUGH, PULLING SUB-FREEZING AIR SOUTHWARD. HOWEVER, THAT APPEARS
TO BE ONE OF THE LOWER PROBABILITY SOLUTIONS WITH THE HIGHER
LIKELIHOOD BEING THAT ANY RAINFALL MOVES OUT OF THE AREA BEFORE ANY
COLDER AIR BUILDS IN. WE'LL WATCH THIS EVOLUTION OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS TO SEE IF ANYTHING CHANGES, BUT FOR NOW I DON'T HAVE ANY WINTER
PRECIP MENTIONED IN THE FORECAST.
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS BACK IN TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK WITH MORE
COLD WEATHER ANTICIPATED FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
25/OWEN
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1107 PM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
MVFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO LINGER FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS BEFORE
IMPROVING TO VFR ACROSS ALL TAF SITES THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
PERIOD. GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN IMPACTS TODAY AS A
SECONDARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY PUSHES SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE REGION LATER
TODAY.
25/OWEN
FIRE WEATHER
DRY AND COLDER CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF
NEXT WEEK. WINDS MAY BE GUST AT TIMES SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS A
SECONDARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY PUSHES SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE REGION, BUT
WITH THE RECENT RAINFALL, CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE NOT
ANTICIPATED.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 35 47 23 50 / 10 0 0 0
ANNISTON 36 48 25 51 / 10 0 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 37 47 27 49 / 0 0 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 37 51 27 52 / 0 0 0 0
CALERA 37 51 27 52 / 10 0 0 0
AUBURN 42 52 29 51 / 30 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 40 53 27 50 / 20 0 0 0
TROY 42 54 28 51 / 30 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...25/OWEN
AVIATION...25/OWEN
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