911
FXUS64 KBMX 111121
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
521 AM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 520 AM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
- COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WEEK AHEAD, BRINGING US
BACK TO SEASONABLE RANGES.
- A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS SHOULD MOVE ACROSS THE REGION SOMETIME
WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY; OTHERWISE, THE REST OF THE UPCOMING
WEEK SHOULD FEATURE FAIR- WEATHER CONDITIONS.
DISCUSSION
(SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1107 PM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
DRY AND COLDER WEATHER EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF NEXT
WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN ACROSS THE REGION. MORNING LOWS WILL
DROP INTO THE 20S BY MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S
TO LOW 50S.
ANOTHER TROUGH DIGS DOWN INTO THE REGION WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY
LEADING TO INCREASED RAIN CHANCES, THOUGH MOISTURE RETURN AHEAD OF
THIS TROUGH IS LIMITED. THIS SHOULD KEEP THE COVERAGE OF ANY RAIN
DEVELOPMENT ON THE LOWER SIDE, SO I'VE KEPT RAIN CHANCES IN THE 20-
30% RANGE THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. SOME GUIDANCE TRIES TO PICK UP
ON SOME WINTER MIX EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AS THE TROUGH SWINGS
THROUGH, PULLING SUB-FREEZING AIR SOUTHWARD. HOWEVER, THAT APPEARS
TO BE ONE OF THE LOWER PROBABILITY SOLUTIONS WITH THE HIGHER
LIKELIHOOD BEING THAT ANY RAINFALL MOVES OUT OF THE AREA BEFORE ANY
COLDER AIR BUILDS IN. WE'LL WATCH THIS EVOLUTION OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS TO SEE IF ANYTHING CHANGES, BUT FOR NOW I DON'T HAVE ANY WINTER
PRECIP MENTIONED IN THE FORECAST.
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS BACK IN TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK WITH MORE
COLD WEATHER ANTICIPATED FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
25/OWEN
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 520 AM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH 24 TO 36 HOURS. OTHERWISE WINDY
CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE AFTER 15Z AT ALL SITES. NORTHERLY
WINDS UP TO 15 TO 17 KTS SUSTAINED AND GUSTS UP TO 25 KTS. WINDS
CALM AFTER 3 TO 4Z TO LESS THAN 7 KTS.
16
FIRE WEATHER
DRY AND COLDER CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF
THE WORK WEEK. WINDS MAY BE GUSTY AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON AS A
SECONDARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY PUSHES SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE REGION,
BUT WITH THE RECENT RAINFALL, CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE
NOT ANTICIPATED.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 46 23 51 24 / 0 0 0 0
ANNISTON 48 25 50 27 / 0 0 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 47 27 49 29 / 0 0 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 51 28 51 29 / 0 0 0 0
CALERA 51 26 51 28 / 0 0 0 0
AUBURN 51 29 51 31 / 0 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 53 27 50 28 / 0 0 0 0
TROY 54 28 51 28 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...25/OWEN
AVIATION...16
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page