600
FXUS64 KBMX 262358
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
558 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 547 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
- VERY COLD AIR WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA
TONIGHT, REMAINING INTO NEXT WEEK. A COLD WEATHER ADVISORY
REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TONIGHT.
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1226 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
THE UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN IS DELINEATED BY DEEP TROUGHING OVER THE
EASTERN CONUS AND EXPANSIVE RIDGING INFLUENCING THE WESTERN HALF. AT
THE SURFACE, A BROAD REGION OF HIGH PRESSURE IS BUILDING OVER THE
CENTRAL PLAINS AND GULF COAST REGION. PERSISTENT NORTHWEST FLOW WILL
MAINTAIN THE ARCTIC AIRMASS ACROSS THE REGION FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK.
OUR TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW AVERAGE, AND ALTHOUGH WINDS
WON'T BE AS STRONG TONIGHT, WE MAINTAIN A COLD WEATHER ADVISORY
THROUGH 9 AM TOMORROW MORNING FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA WITH
TEMPERATURES FORECAST TO FALL INTO THE 10S TO 20S. THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEK WILL BE COLD WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE 30S/40S AND
OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE 10S/20S.
TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK, LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS ANOTHER ARCTIC
TROUGH WILL ROTATE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION AND PHASE
WITH A SOUTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE WHICH WILL TRACK ALONG THE NORTHERN
GULF OR GULF COAST REGION. THIS EVOLUTION WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED
FOR MORE WINTER MISCHIEF TO OUR EAST/NORTHEAST ACROSS THE MID-
ATLANTIC REGION, BUT FOR NOW, OUR FORECAST FEATURES A LOW CHANCE OF
RAIN ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT, FOLLOWED BY
ANOTHER REINFORCING SHOT OF COLD, DRY AIR FOR THE WEEKEND.
86/MARTIN
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 547 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
VFR TAFS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE 24 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD WITH SURFACE
RIDGING OVER THE DEEP SOUTH. WINDS WILL BE NW 8-13 EARLY THIS
EVENING. GUSTS SHOULD START TO TAPER DOWN AFTER SUNSET. WINDS
SHOULD BE GENERALLY LIGHT/VARIABLE AFTER ~ 4-7Z FOR MOST. DURING
THE DAY ON TUE WITH MIXING, LOOK FOR W WINDS 6-9KTS.
08
FIRE WEATHER
DRY AIR WILL QUICKLY WORK INTO THE REGION TODAY, WITH MINRH
VALUES DROPPING BACK BETWEEN 30-40%. HERE IS WHERE THEY WILL
REMAIN FOR MOST OF THE NEXT WEEK, AS A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
REMAINS SITUATED TO OUR SOUTH. GIVEN RECENT RAINFALL, FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS WILL REMAIN LITTLE TO NONE AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 10 41 19 45 / 0 0 0 0
ANNISTON 13 41 21 45 / 0 0 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 14 41 23 45 / 0 0 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 16 44 23 47 / 0 0 0 0
CALERA 14 44 23 47 / 0 0 0 0
AUBURN 18 42 26 46 / 0 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 17 44 24 48 / 0 0 0 0
TROY 17 44 25 49 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM CST TUESDAY
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES: AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-
CALHOUN-CHAMBERS-CHEROKEE-CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-
ELMORE-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-
MACON-MARENGO-MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-
RUSSELL-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-
WALKER-WINSTON.
DISCUSSION...86/MARTIN
AVIATION...08
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