637
FXUS64 KBMX 271059
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
459 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 458 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
- VERY COLD AIR WILL REMAIN ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH THE NEXT
WEEK. A COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TONIGHT.
DISCUSSION
(THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1115 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
THE WEATHER STORY FOR THIS FORECAST WILL REMAIN THE FRIGID AIRMASS
OVERHEAD, AS IT LOOKS TO STAY IN PLACE FOR MOST OF THE NEXT SEVEN
DAYS. EVEN WHEN TEMPERATURES DO START TO SLIGHTLY WARM UP CLOSER TO
THE WEEKEND, ANOTHER DEEP TROUGH AND COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH
THE REGION, DROPPING OVERNIGHT LOWS RIGHT BACK INTO THE TEENS
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT.
SOME FORM OF WINTER WEATHER STILL LOOKS POSSIBLE WITH THIS SYSTEM,
BUT THE LIMITING FACTOR REMAINS THE LOCATION OF THE LOW PRESSURE. AS
OF TONIGHT, IT LOOKS LIKE THE MAIN TROUGH WILL WORK INTO THE REGION
OVERNIGHT FRIDAY, AND GIVEN AMBIENT TEMPERATURES, WOULD ALLOW FOR A
VERY SMALL PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN. WITH THAT BEING SAID, THAT
WINDOW IS SMALL, AND IT'S ENTIRELY POSSIBLE THE PROGRESSION IS TOO
FAST. MEANING, THE RAIN WOULD MOVE IN WHEN TEMPERATURES ARE ABOVE
FREEZING. THIS WOULD ALL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE MAIN TROUGH, WITH
THE SURFACE LOW BY THE GULF BEING A COMPLETELY DIFFERENT VARIABLE.
THANKFULLY, THIS LOW STILL LOOKS DISORGANIZED AND TOO FAR SOUTH FOR
ANY TYPE OF MEANINGFUL IMPACTS. WITH THAT BEING SAID, THIS IS
SOMETHING WE WILL OBVIOUSLY KEEP AN EYE ON FOR ANY IMPACTFUL
CHANGES.
/44/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 458 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE ENTIRE TAF PERIOD.
/44/
FIRE WEATHER
MINRH VALUES WILL DRAMATICALLY DROP TODAY BEHIND THE COLD FRONT,
WITH MOST LOCATIONS RANGING BETWEEN 30-40%. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT
SOME LOCATIONS DROP TO BELOW 30% TODAY, BUT MOST PLACES WILL REMAIN
BETWEEN 30-40% THROUGH THE WEEK. EVEN WITH THIS DRYING TREND, MOST
FUELS REMAIN SOMEWHAT DAMP FROM RECENT RAINFALL, SO FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS WILL REMAIN LITTLE TO NONE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 42 20 46 19 / 0 0 0 0
ANNISTON 41 22 46 23 / 0 0 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 41 23 46 24 / 0 0 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 44 24 48 25 / 0 0 0 0
CALERA 44 23 48 24 / 0 0 0 0
AUBURN 42 27 47 27 / 0 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 44 25 49 24 / 0 0 0 0
TROY 44 26 49 24 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES: AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-CALHOUN-
CHAMBERS-CHEROKEE-CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-ELMORE-
ETOWAH-FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-MACON-
MARENGO-MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-RUSSELL-
SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-
WINSTON.
DISCUSSION.../44/
AVIATION.../44/
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