292
FXUS64 KBMX 271626
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1026 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1021 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
- VERY COLD AIR WILL REMAIN ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH THE NEXT
WEEK. A COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TONIGHT.
DISCUSSION
(THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1115 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
THE WEATHER STORY FOR THIS FORECAST WILL REMAIN THE FRIGID AIRMASS
OVERHEAD, AS IT LOOKS TO STAY IN PLACE FOR MOST OF THE NEXT SEVEN
DAYS. EVEN WHEN TEMPERATURES DO START TO SLIGHTLY WARM UP CLOSER TO
THE WEEKEND, ANOTHER DEEP TROUGH AND COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH
THE REGION, DROPPING OVERNIGHT LOWS RIGHT BACK INTO THE TEENS
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT.
SOME FORM OF WINTER WEATHER STILL LOOKS POSSIBLE WITH THIS SYSTEM,
BUT THE LIMITING FACTOR REMAINS THE LOCATION OF THE LOW PRESSURE. AS
OF TONIGHT, IT LOOKS LIKE THE MAIN TROUGH WILL WORK INTO THE REGION
OVERNIGHT FRIDAY, AND GIVEN AMBIENT TEMPERATURES, WOULD ALLOW FOR A
VERY SMALL PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN. WITH THAT BEING SAID, THAT
WINDOW IS SMALL, AND IT'S ENTIRELY POSSIBLE THE PROGRESSION IS TOO
FAST. MEANING, THE RAIN WOULD MOVE IN WHEN TEMPERATURES ARE ABOVE
FREEZING. THIS WOULD ALL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE MAIN TROUGH, WITH
THE SURFACE LOW BY THE GULF BEING A COMPLETELY DIFFERENT VARIABLE.
THANKFULLY, THIS LOW STILL LOOKS DISORGANIZED AND TOO FAR SOUTH FOR
ANY TYPE OF MEANINGFUL IMPACTS. WITH THAT BEING SAID, THIS IS
SOMETHING WE WILL OBVIOUSLY KEEP AN EYE ON FOR ANY IMPACTFUL
CHANGES.
/44/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1025 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
VFR CONDITIONS REMAIN FOR THE TAF PERIOD.
16
FIRE WEATHER
MINRH VALUES WILL DRAMATICALLY DROP THIS AFTERNOON BEHIND THE
COLD FRONT, WITH MOST LOCATIONS RANGING BETWEEN 20-40%. THE LOWEST
WILL BE IN THE SOUTHEAST. RH LEVELS ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WILL
BE A TOUCH BETTER WITH READINGS IN THE 30-40% RANGE. EVEN WITH
THIS DRYING TREND, MOST FUELS REMAIN SOMEWHAT DAMP FROM RECENT
RAINFALL, SO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL REMAIN LITTLE TO NONE FOR
THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. WINDS REMAIN LIGHT AS WELL.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 42 21 46 19 / 0 0 0 0
ANNISTON 41 23 46 22 / 0 0 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 41 24 46 24 / 0 0 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 44 25 48 24 / 0 0 0 0
CALERA 44 24 48 24 / 0 0 0 0
AUBURN 42 27 48 27 / 0 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 43 27 49 25 / 0 0 0 0
TROY 45 26 50 24 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION.../44/
AVIATION...16
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