587
FXUS64 KBMX 311737
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1137 AM CST SAT JAN 31 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1137 AM CST SAT JAN 31 2026
- AN EXTREME COLD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA
TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. WIND CHILLS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST
BETWEEN 3 BELOW ZERO ACROSS EASTERN COUNTIES TO THE SINGLE
DIGITS ABOVE ZERO ELSEWHERE SUNDAY MORNING.
- A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 9 PM THIS EVENING,
WITH GUSTS UP TO 30-35 MPH AT TIMES.
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1137 AM CST SAT JAN 31 2026
AN UPPER LOW MOVING FROM TENNESSEE TO GEORGIA RESULTED IN SNOW
SHOWERS ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA THIS MORNING, WITH MINOR
ACCUMULATIONS IN SOME AREAS. THIS ACTIVITY HAS LARGELY ENDED ACROSS
THE REGION BY THIS MIDDAY HOUR. THE MAIN FOCUS CONTINUES TO BE LOW
TEMPERATURES AND VERY COLD WIND CHILLS THAT WILL BE IN PLACE THROUGH
MIDDAY SUNDAY. AN EXTREME COLD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF
CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH NOON SUNDAY AS WIND CHILLS ARE EXPECTED TO
BE AS LOW AS -3 TO 5 DEGREES, ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHEASTERN CENTRAL
ALABAMA, DEPENDING ON TIME AND LOCATION.
LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE TEENS AREA-WIDE, AND, WITH
THE EVEN LOWER WIND CHILL VALUES, COULD POTENTIALLY BE HAZARDOUS TO
ANYONE SPENDING AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF TIME OUTSIDE, ALONG WITH PETS
AND ANIMALS SENSITIVE TO COLD WEATHER. WE SHOULD WARM UP INTO THE
UPPER 30S TO LOW 40S IN MOST AREAS BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
MEANWHILE, WE STILL HAVE A WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH 9 PM
TONIGHT, WITH GUSTS UP TO 30-35 MPH AT TIMES. THIS GOES IN
CONJUNCTION WITH THE COLD TEMPERATURES TO RESULT IN WIND CHILLS OF
10 TO 20 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON, BEFORE VALUES FALL AFTER DARK.
WE WILL SEE A WARMUP GOING INTO THE EARLY WEEK, WITH TEMPERATURES UP
INTO THE 50S OR EVEN LOW 60S BY TUESDAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD
FRONT. RAIN CHANCES WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON AS
THE FRONT WORKS THROUGH THE AREA, WITH POTENTIAL FOR 0.5-0.75" OF
RAIN THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. MOST MODELS INDICATE RAIN CHANCES
SHOULD END BY MIDDAY WEDNESDAY, WITH PERHAPS SOME LINGERING RAIN IN
THE SOUTHEAST INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. BEHIND THE FRONT, LOWS WILL BE
BACK INTO THE 20S WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT, WITH HIGHS IN
THE 40S THURSDAY REBOUNDING INTO THE 50S BY FRIDAY.
12
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1137 AM CST SAT JAN 31 2026
SITES ARE NOW INTO VFR CIGS, WHICH SHOULD BY AND LARGE PERSIST
THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY. LOW CLOUDS WILL BUILD BACK IN BY/AFTER
06Z, WITH MVFR CIGS POSSIBLE AT BHM AND EET BEFORE 15Z. TCL, MGM,
AND AUO ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST TO REMAIN VFR. WINDS CONTINUE TO BE
BRISK AND GUSTY TODAY, WITH SUSTAINED FROM THE NW OR NNW AT 15 TO 22
KTS AND GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON 25 TO OCCASIONALLY 35 KTS. WINDS SHOULD
LOWER SOMEWHAT BUT REMAIN BREEZY INTO TOMORROW.
12
FIRE WEATHER
VERY COLD AND VERY DRY AIR WILL RETURN ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA
THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST 20FT WINDS AS HIGH AS 20
MPH AND 10M GUSTS UP TO 30-35 MPH THIS AFTERNOON, SLOWLY DECREASING
THROUGH THE DAY ON SUNDAY. MINRH VALUES ARE FORECAST TO DROP BACK
DOWN INTO THE UPPER 20S TO 30S THIS AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY AFTERNOON
WITH SINGLE DIGIT DEWPOINT VALUES. WINDS WILL DIMINISH BY MONDAY
WITH RHS ON THE REBOUND AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT, WITH A LIKELY
CHANCE FOR WETTING RAINFALL ARRIVING BY TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 27 14 38 17 / 20 0 0 0
ANNISTON 28 15 37 20 / 20 0 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 27 16 38 23 / 10 0 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 30 17 40 22 / 0 0 0 0
CALERA 29 15 39 21 / 10 0 0 0
AUBURN 29 17 38 23 / 20 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 32 18 41 22 / 10 0 0 0
TROY 32 17 41 21 / 20 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
EXTREME COLD WARNING UNTIL NOON CST SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES: AUTAUGA-BIBB-BLOUNT-CHILTON-DALLAS-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-
GREENE-HALE-JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LOWNDES-MARENGO-MARION-PERRY-PICKENS-
SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-SUMTER-TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-WINSTON-BARBOUR-BULLOCK-
CALHOUN-CHAMBERS-CHEROKEE-CLAY- CLEBURNE-COOSA-ELMORE-LEE-MACON-
MONTGOMERY-PIKE-RANDOLPH-RUSSELL- TALLADEGA-TALLAPOOSA.
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES: AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-CALHOUN-CHAMBERS-
CHEROKEE-CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-ELMORE-ETOWAH-
FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-MACON-MARENGO-
MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-RUSSELL-SHELBY-ST.
CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-WINSTON.
DISCUSSION...12
AVIATION...12
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