348
FXUS64 KBMX 011812
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1212 PM CST SUN FEB 1 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1211 PM CST SUN FEB 1 2026
- FOLLOWING ANOTHER HARD FREEZE ON MONDAY MORNING, A WELCOMED
WARM-UP WILL OCCUR THROUGH TUESDAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT.
HIGHS IN THE 50S AND 60S ARE FORECAST AREAWIDE.
- WIDESPREAD SHOWERS RETURN TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
FOLLOWED BY A QUICK ROUND OF COLDER AND DRIER AIR BEHIND THE
COLD FRONT FOR THURSDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER OR ABNORMALLY
COLD TEMPERATURES ARE BEING ADVERTISED IN THE LONG-RANGE
FORECAST AT THIS TIME, WITH GUIDANCE ADVERTISING MOSTLY DRY
FORECAST TRENDS BY NEXT WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1211 PM CST SUN FEB 1 2026
PLENTY OF SUN OUT THERE RIGHT NOW, ALLOWING CONDITIONS TO FEEL A
LITTLE BETTER THAN ACTUAL READINGS. AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE IS
QUICKLY MOVING SOUTHWARD AND WILL BE ENTERING THE NORTHERN HALF OF
THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. ONLY IMPACTS TO OUR AREA WILL BE AN
INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER IN THE NORTH AND AS FAR SOUTH AS THE I-85
CORRIDOR. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO BE "WARMER" THAN THE
PAST NIGHT AND COULD BE HIGHER THAN CURRENT FORECAST LOWS. FOR
LOCATIONS THAT STAY CLEAR OVERNIGHT OR CLEAR OUT, LOWER 20S AND
PERHAPS SOME ISOLATED UPPER TEENS ARE ANTICIPATED BY DAYBREAK
MONDAY. NO COLD WEATHER PRODUCTS WILL BE ISSUED TONIGHT DUE TO
CALM WINDS AND ACTUAL TEMPERATURES NOT EXPECTED TO REACH COLD
WEATHER ADVISORY CRITERIA (INSERT APPLAUSE).
MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN PLACE TUESDAY AHEAD OF YET
ANOTHER SHORTWAVE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH.
INCREASING MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTHWEST WILL QUICKLY DEVELOP
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS STARTING AS EARLY AS LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON IN
THE NORTHWEST AND MOVING FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL HELP KICK THIS COLD
FRONT THROUGH THE AREA BY WEDNESDAY EVENING WITH A QUICK ROUND OF
COLDER AND DRIER AIR THURSDAY. THIS WILL BE A SHORT-LIVED COLD
AIRMASS AS SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNS FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND WITH
HIGHS BACK INTO THE 50S TO 60S.
16
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1211 PM CST SUN FEB 1 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE TAF CYCLE, WITH WINDS
DECREASING THROUGH THE DAY.
16
FIRE WEATHER
WINDS WILL DIMINISH BY MONDAY WITH RHS VALUES IN THE UPPER 20S IN
THE SOUTHEAST TO UPPER 30S IN THE NORTHWEST. RH VALUES REALLY
INCREASE ON TUESDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT. RAINFALL WILL
LIKELY TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. DRY CONDITIONS
WILL RETURN THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND REMAIN THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 18 51 25 59 / 0 0 0 40
ANNISTON 20 50 30 60 / 0 0 0 30
BIRMINGHAM 23 51 34 61 / 0 0 0 40
TUSCALOOSA 22 55 33 62 / 0 0 0 50
CALERA 21 53 32 62 / 0 0 0 30
AUBURN 24 50 32 60 / 0 0 0 10
MONTGOMERY 22 54 32 65 / 0 0 0 10
TROY 21 55 32 65 / 0 0 0 10
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...16
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page