425
FXUS64 KBMX 071304
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
704 AM CST SAT MAR 7 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 656 AM CST SAT MAR 7 2026
- THERE IS A LEVEL 1 OUT OF 5 RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM AROUND 3 PM TO 12 MIDNIGHT. THE
PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING STRAIGHT-LINE WIND GUSTS UP TO
60 MPH. THERE IS ALSO A RISK OF QUARTER SIZE HAIL.
- THERE IS A LEVEL 1 TO 2 OUT OF 5 RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS FOR
WEDNESDAY. THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING STRAIGHT-LINE
WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.
DISCUSSION
(SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1026 PM CST FRI MAR 6 2026
THE MAIN STORY FOR SATURDAY WILL BE THE COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE
REGION WITH INCREASING RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES THROUGH THE
DAY. THERE'S A LOW CHANCE FOR SOME STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WITH
DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL BEING THE PRIMARY CONCERNS. THE FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO STALL JUST TO OUR NORTHWEST SUNDAY AND LIFT BACK
NORTHWARD MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.
A SHORTWAVE IS EXPECTED TO SLIDE THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY, LEADING
TO ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS BEFORE OUR NEXT MAIN
TROUGH SOMETIME WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. GUIDANCE HAS STILL SHOWN A
DECENT AMOUNT OF VARIABILITY IN THE TIMING OF THIS TROUGH, BUT IT
WILL BE THE NEXT SYSTEM TO WATCH FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS AS WE
GO THROUGH THE MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK.
25/OWEN
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 656 AM CST SAT MAR 7 2026
LOW STRATUS (LIFR TO MVFR) AND SOME PATCHY DENSE FOG WILL BE
PRESENT THROUGH CLOSE TO MIDDAY. SHRAS AND TSRAS WILL DEVELOP AND
MOVE INTO C AL IN THE LATE AFTERNOON FROM THE NW AND SPREADING
ACROSS THE AREA CONTINUING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WILL BE
MONITORING FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF A FEW STRONG TSTORMS IN THE MIX.
08
FIRE WEATHER
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL PUSH INTO THE REGION SATURDAY LEADING TO
INCREASED RAIN CHANCES WITH SOME STRONG STORMS SATURDAY AFTERNOON
ACROSS CENTRAL AL. HIGH RAIN CHANCES CONTINUE SUNDAY MORNING, THEN
AGAIN ON MONDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH. WE SHOULD
SEE A BREAK IN THE RAIN/STORMS ON TUESDAY BEFORE ANOTHER STRONGER
SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH TOWARDS THE MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 81 59 73 57 / 60 90 80 20
ANNISTON 82 61 73 58 / 40 90 80 30
BIRMINGHAM 79 62 73 60 / 70 90 80 30
TUSCALOOSA 81 62 74 59 / 70 90 80 30
CALERA 82 61 75 58 / 60 90 90 30
AUBURN 82 63 73 61 / 30 50 80 30
MONTGOMERY 84 64 73 62 / 30 50 80 30
TROY 85 62 75 62 / 20 30 80 30
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...25/OWEN
AVIATION...08
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