008
FXUS64 KBMX 312320
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
620 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 608 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2026
- VARIABLE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- SEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY.
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1245 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2026
RIDGING CENTERED OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WILL ACT TO DEFLECT
MID-LEVEL FLOW AND ASSOCIATED SHORTWAVES FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS;
HOWEVER, A WEAKNESS IN THE HIGH PRESSURE PATTERN OVER THE GULF
COAST REGION WILL AID IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS WEAK IMPULSES ROUND THE WESTERN
PERIMETER OF THE ATLANTIC RIDGE.
A STRONGER TROUGH WILL SCOOT ACROSS THE NORTHERN U.S. OVER THE
WEEKEND, SENDING A FRONT OUR WAY SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. THIS
FRONT WILL OFFER A BETTER CHANCE FOR MORE WIDESPREAD RAINFALL.
GIVEN THE WIND FIELD ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM BYPASSING US TO
THE NORTH, AND MINIMAL INSTABILITY, SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
TEMPERATURES WILL RUN ABOVE TYPICAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR THROUGH
SATURDAY. CURRENTLY FORECAST HIGHS ARE JUST SHY OF RECORDS, SEVERAL
OF WHICH WERE SET JUST LAST YEAR.
89^GSATTERWHITE
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 608 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2026
SHOWERS AND STORMS REMAIN ONGOING ACROSS THE REGION, WITH TSRA
TEMPO'D IN AT KAUO THROUGH 01/01Z. HOWEVER, SKIES WILL GENERALLY
CLEAR OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS, BEFORE MVFR CIGS ROLL BACK IN PAST
01/10Z. ADDITIONAL SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE
PAST 01/18Z, BUT CONFIDENCE WAS NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO INTRODUCE THAT
AT THIS TIME.
/44/
FIRE WEATHER
VARIABLE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE FORECAST THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. COVERAGE WILL BE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED FROM TODAY TO
SATURDAY. A FRONT SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY WILL OFFER A BETTER
CHANCE FOR MORE WIDESPREAD RAINFALL WITH AMOUNTS AVERAGING CLOSE
TO OR LESS THAN ONE INCH.
MINRHS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS WILL BE IN THE 40 PERCENT RANGE WITH
ISOLATED OCCURRENCES OF UPPER 30 PERCENT. SOUTHERLY FLOW NEAR 5-10
MPH IS EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY, BECOMING NORTHWESTERLY ON
SUNDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 59 83 58 84 / 10 40 20 20
ANNISTON 60 83 59 84 / 20 40 30 10
BIRMINGHAM 63 83 62 84 / 10 50 20 10
TUSCALOOSA 62 83 61 86 / 20 50 10 10
CALERA 62 83 60 85 / 20 50 20 10
AUBURN 61 83 62 84 / 20 50 30 10
MONTGOMERY 61 85 59 85 / 20 50 20 10
TROY 60 84 59 84 / 20 40 20 10
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...89
AVIATION.../44/
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