363
FXUS64 KBMX 010325
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1025 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1022 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2026
- VARIABLE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- SEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY.
DISCUSSION
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1022 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2026
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, PRIMARILY DRIVEN BY DIURNAL AND SEA BREEZE
ACTIVITY. A PATTERN WE'RE MUCH MORE USED TO SEEING DURING THE
SUMMER, NOT SPRING. HOWEVER, IT STILL LOOKS LIKE THE SECONDARY
TROUGH WILL GIVE THE STALLED TROUGH A KICK IN THE PANTS, PUSHING
THE COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION INTO THE WEEKEND.
THIS IS WHERE MORE ORGANIZED RAIN CHANCES RETURN TO THE FORECAST, AS
A LINE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS MOVES INTO THE REGION. THANKFULLY,
GIVEN THE FACT THAT THE BEST FORCING IS WELL TO THE NORTH, AND
LIMITED INSTABILITY, SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED
WITH THESE STORMS. JUST SOME MUCH NEEDED RAINFALL. IN GENERAL, HALF
AN INCH TO AN INCH OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIMEFRAME,
WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING BEHIND THE FRONT TO START THE NEW
WORKWEEK.
/44/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 608 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2026
SHOWERS AND STORMS REMAIN ONGOING ACROSS THE REGION, WITH TSRA
TEMPO'D IN AT KAUO THROUGH 01/01Z. HOWEVER, SKIES WILL GENERALLY
CLEAR OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS, BEFORE MVFR CIGS ROLL BACK IN PAST
01/10Z. ADDITIONAL SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE
PAST 01/18Z, BUT CONFIDENCE WAS NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO INTRODUCE THAT
AT THIS TIME.
/44/
FIRE WEATHER
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST,
BEFORE MORE ORGANIZED RAIN CHANCES RETURN BY THE WEEKEND. GIVEN DRY
FUELS, FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL REMAIN HIGH, ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE
INCREASED LIGHTNING CHANCES THE NEXT FEW DAYS. MINRH VALUES WILL
GENERALLY LINGER IN THE 40% RANGE, BEFORE INCREASING AHEAD OF THE
FRONT COME SUNDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 58 83 59 85 / 10 30 20 10
ANNISTON 60 84 61 85 / 10 30 20 10
BIRMINGHAM 63 83 62 85 / 10 40 20 10
TUSCALOOSA 62 83 61 86 / 20 40 10 0
CALERA 62 84 61 86 / 10 40 10 10
AUBURN 61 83 62 84 / 20 30 20 10
MONTGOMERY 61 86 61 86 / 20 30 20 10
TROY 60 85 60 85 / 30 30 20 10
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION.../44/
AVIATION.../44/
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