861
FXUS64 KBMX 010539
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1239 AM CDT WED APR 1 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1236 AM CDT WED APR 1 2026
- VARIABLE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- SEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY.
DISCUSSION
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1022 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2026
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, PRIMARILY DRIVEN BY DIURNAL AND SEA BREEZE
ACTIVITY. A PATTERN WE'RE MUCH MORE USED TO SEEING DURING THE
SUMMER, NOT SPRING. HOWEVER, IT STILL LOOKS LIKE THE SECONDARY
TROUGH WILL GIVE THE STALLED TROUGH A KICK IN THE PANTS, PUSHING
THE COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION INTO THE WEEKEND.
THIS IS WHERE MORE ORGANIZED RAIN CHANCES RETURN TO THE FORECAST, AS
A LINE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS MOVES INTO THE REGION. THANKFULLY,
GIVEN THE FACT THAT THE BEST FORCING IS WELL TO THE NORTH, AND
LIMITED INSTABILITY, SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED
WITH THESE STORMS. JUST SOME MUCH NEEDED RAINFALL. IN GENERAL, HALF
AN INCH TO AN INCH OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIMEFRAME,
WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING BEHIND THE FRONT TO START THE NEW
WORKWEEK.
/44/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1239 AM CDT WED APR 1 2026
EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO GRADUALLY GIVE WAY TO LOWER CLOUDS AT
MOST SITES TOWARD DAYBREAK AND PERSISTING THROUGH MID MORNING.
CLOUDS WILL BECOME BKN/SCT TOWARD MIDDAY WITH MENTIONABLE CHANCES
FOR SHOWERS AT MOST TERMINALS FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH MUCH OF
THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
05
FIRE WEATHER
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST,
BEFORE MORE ORGANIZED RAIN CHANCES RETURN BY THE WEEKEND. GIVEN DRY
FUELS, FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL REMAIN HIGH, ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE
INCREASED LIGHTNING CHANCES THE NEXT FEW DAYS. MINRH VALUES WILL
GENERALLY LINGER IN THE 40% RANGE, BEFORE INCREASING AHEAD OF THE
FRONT COME SUNDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 83 59 85 61 / 30 20 10 10
ANNISTON 84 61 85 62 / 30 20 10 10
BIRMINGHAM 83 62 85 65 / 40 20 10 10
TUSCALOOSA 83 61 86 63 / 40 10 0 10
CALERA 84 61 86 62 / 40 10 10 0
AUBURN 83 62 84 62 / 30 20 10 0
MONTGOMERY 86 61 86 62 / 30 20 10 0
TROY 85 60 85 60 / 30 20 10 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION.../44/
AVIATION...05
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