296
FXUS64 KBMX 162321
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
621 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 621 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2026
- THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE THAT SOME COMMUNITIES ACROSS CENTRAL
ALABAMA WILL SEE THEIR FIRST 90 DEGREE DAY OF THE YEAR BY EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
- ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST FOR
PARTS OF THE REGION MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK. UNTIL THEN, ANY
ACTIVITY WILL BE VERY LIMITED IN COVERAGE AS FAIR WEATHER
DOMINATES.
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 112 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2026
ANOTHER DRY DAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA THIS AFTERNOON WITH
RIDGING OFF THE EAST COAST. LOW CHANCE POPS HAVE BEEN MAINTAINED
FOR TOMORROW AFTERNOON ACROSS EASTERN CENTRAL ALABAMA ALONG THE
GEORGIA LINE ALONG A WEAK SHORTWAVE. MOST OF CENTRAL ALABAMA
SHOULD REMAIN DRY, HOWEVER. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY RISE
INTO EARLY WEEK, WITH UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90F BECOMING COMMON
AROUND THE REGION. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ACROSS ALABAMA WITH
INCREASED SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF A TROUGH OVER THE GREAT PLAINS.
SHORTWAVES MOVING ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN PERIPHERY OF THIS TROUGH
SHOULD INCREASE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE
SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK, AS THE RIDGING TO THE EAST LOSES
INFLUENCE. AS A RESULT, WE SHOULD SEE HIGH TEMPERATURES BACK OFF
A BIT INTO THE MID 80S BY LATE WEEK.
12
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 621 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS RIDGING
REMAINS OVER THE EAST COAST. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS OVERNIGHT
WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE SOUTH THROUGH THE LATE MORNING HOURS
SUNDAY. GUSTS NEAR 20 KNOTS ARE LIKELY AT TIMES FOR AUO/BHM/EET.
NO RAIN IS ANTICIPATED TO IMPACT TERMINALS.
95/CASTILLO
FIRE WEATHER
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE NIL TO VERY LOW THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
THEN FORECAST MID TO LATE IN THE WEEK. MODERATE TO EXTREME
DROUGHT CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA, THOUGH THE
LACK OF LOW MINRH OR GUSTY WINDS OVER THE DAYS AHEAD LESSENS BONA
FIDE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 58 89 61 88 / 0 10 0 20
ANNISTON 61 88 63 87 / 0 20 10 20
BIRMINGHAM 62 89 64 89 / 0 0 0 10
TUSCALOOSA 59 87 63 89 / 0 0 0 10
CALERA 59 88 62 88 / 0 0 0 20
AUBURN 65 88 65 87 / 0 20 20 20
MONTGOMERY 62 89 64 89 / 0 0 0 30
TROY 62 88 63 88 / 0 10 0 30
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...12
AVIATION...95/CASTILLO
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