582
FXUS64 KBMX 050438
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1138 PM CDT THU JUN 4 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1137 PM CDT THU JUN 4 2026
- SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS RETURN TO THE FORECAST STARTING
SATURDAY, PERSISTING THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
(FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1137 PM CDT THU JUN 4 2026
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE FORECAST FOR
THE NEXT 24-HOURS, BEFORE SLOWLY STARTING TO RETROGRADE TO THE SE
INTO SATURDAY MORNING. AT THE SAME TIME, A CLOSED LOW PRESSURE
WILL BEGIN TO TREK EAST ACROSS TEXAS, WITH THE OUTER FRINGES OF
THE TROUGH REACHING OUR AREA BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THIS CLOSED
LOW WILL ALLOW FOR A SERIES OF SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCES TO WORK
THROUGH THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND, INCREASING RAIN CHANCES
INTO THE START OF NEXT WEEK.
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING WILL START TO BUILD BACK IN OVER THE AREA BY
TUESDAY, SHUTTING DOWN THE MORE ORGANIZED RAIN ACTIVITY. HOWEVER,
THAT DOES NOT MEAN RAIN CHANCES WILL COMPLETELY END, AS DIURNALLY
DRIVEN AFTERNOON CONVECTION REMAINS IN THE FORECAST INTO NEXT
WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY BEGIN TO CLIMB DURING THIS TIME
PERIOD AS WELL, WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS REACHING THE UPPER-80S BY
THURSDAY.
/44/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 615 PM CDT THU JUN 4 2026
DUE TO UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING, VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE
ENTIRE TAF PERIOD
/44/
FIRE WEATHER
THERE ARE NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS OVER THE COMING DAYS. DUE TO
RELATIVELY DRY HIGH PRESSURE, FAIR WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH
FRIDAY WITH AFTERNOON MINRH BETWEEN 30-50 PERCENT. HIGH PRESSURE
WEAKENS AND PUSHES EASTWARD OVER THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR
MOISTURE VALUES TO REBOUND AND CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO RETURN INTO NEXT WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 56 86 61 87 / 0 0 0 0
ANNISTON 58 86 62 88 / 0 0 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 61 86 65 88 / 0 0 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 61 87 66 88 / 0 0 0 10
CALERA 59 88 63 89 / 0 0 0 0
AUBURN 62 85 64 88 / 0 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 61 88 64 89 / 0 0 0 10
TROY 61 86 63 89 / 0 0 0 10
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION.../44/
AVIATION.../44/
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