859
FXUS64 KBMX 080440
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1140 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1138 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2026
- HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK,
REACHING THE LOW-90S IN MANY LOCATIONS BY WEDNESDAY.
DISCUSSION
(MONDAY THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1138 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2026
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST
TODAY, AS THE REGION REMAINS DISTURBED FROM THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW
MOVING INTO THE MIDWEST. ONCE IT ARRIVES THERE, THIS UPPER-LOW IS
STILL EXPECTED TO OPEN UP A BIT MORE, PROGRESSING INTO A TROUGH
THAT WILL DROP BACK SOUTH INTO THE AREA. WHILE THE BEST RAIN
CHANCES DURING THIS TIME WILL REMAIN TO OUR EAST, THIS WILL KEEP
THE REGION MIXED ENOUGH TO ALLOW FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO STAY IN THE FORECAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.
FROM HERE, UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING SHOULD BEGIN TO BUILD TO OUR WEST
LATE WEDNESDAY, AND INTO EARLY THURSDAY. THIS RIDGING WILL AID IN
SHUTTING OFF THE MORE ORGANIZED RAIN CHANCES, INSTEAD FAVOURING
MORE SCATTERED, DIURNALLY DRIVEN SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
INTO THE WEEKEND. CONFIDENCE STILL REMAINS HIGH THAT AFTERNOON
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO CLIMB DURING THIS TIMEFRAME AS
WELL, WITH HIGHS ON WEDNESDAY CLIMBING INTO THE LOW-90S FOR THE
MAJORITY OF THE AREA.
/44/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 627 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2026
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN ONGOING THROUGH MOST OF THE
EVENING, WITH ALL TERMINALS CARRYING PROB30 GROUPS FOR TSRA OR
SHRA. LOW CLOUDS WILL QUICKLY MOVE IN OVERNIGHT, WITH IFR/MVFR
CIGS EXPECTED AT MOST TERMINALS PAST 08/06Z, WITH GENERAL
CLEARING EXPECTED PAST 08/15Z. GIVEN A LINGERING SHORTWAVE,
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TOMORROW AFTERNOON, WITH
MOST TERMINALS CARRYING ADDITIONAL PROB30 GROUPS FOR TSRA PAST
08/18Z.
/44/
FIRE WEATHER
ELEVATED CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FOR
MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK. BECAUSE OF THAT, MINRH VALUES WILL
REMAIN ABOVE 50% OR HIGHER INTO NEXT WEEKEND. GIVEN DAILY RAIN
CHANCES AND HIGH MINRH VALUES, FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS REMAIN
LITTLE TO NONE AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 70 82 69 87 / 60 80 40 40
ANNISTON 70 82 70 86 / 60 70 40 50
BIRMINGHAM 70 84 70 88 / 50 60 20 30
TUSCALOOSA 72 85 72 90 / 50 40 10 10
CALERA 70 87 70 90 / 60 40 20 30
AUBURN 70 86 71 85 / 50 20 20 50
MONTGOMERY 71 88 73 88 / 50 10 10 20
TROY 70 90 73 88 / 30 10 10 30
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION.../44/
AVIATION.../44/
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