394
FXUS64 KBMX 251643
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1143 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1140 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2026
- HEAT & HUMIDITY: A SIGNIFICANT WARMING TREND BEGINS LATE THIS
WEEK; HEAT INDICES ARE EXPECTED TO APPROACH OR EXCEED 100
DEGREES DAILY FROM FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL
POSE A MODERATE TO MAJOR HEAT RISK OVER THE MAJORITY OF THE
REGION.
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1140 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2026
AS WE GO THROUGH THE AFTERNOON, WE'RE EXPECTING A FEW SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS CENTRAL AL. GUIDANCE HASN'T SHOWN
MUCH CONSISTENCY ON THE LOCATION OF ANY CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY, BUT
OVERALL DOES INDICATE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED COVERAGE ACROSS THE
AREA DUE TO A WEAKENING REMNANT BOUNDARY ACROSS THE AREA.
AS WE GO INTO THE WEEKEND AND THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK, THE FOCUS
WILL SHIFT TO THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAT IMPACTS ACROSS THE REGION.
BROAD RIDGING BUILDS IN AND STRENGTHENS INTO NEXT WEEK LEADING TO
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES REACHING INTO THE MID 90S EACH DAY SUNDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HEAT INDICES WILL RUN IN THE 100-107 DEGREE
RANGE THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK LEADING TO THE
POTENTIAL FOR HEAT ADVISORIES AS WE GET CLOSER IN TIME. OVERNIGHT
LOW TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO RUN IN THE MID 70S TO
POTENTIALLY UPPER 70S IN A FEW LOCATIONS, WHICH WILL LIMIT HEAT
RECOVERY FOR ANYONE WITHOUT ADEQUATE COOLING IN PLACE.
25/OWEN
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1140 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2026
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WITH WEAK
FORCING IN PLACE, THE COVERAGE OF ANY AFTERNOON SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT LOOKS TO BE LOW. I'LL MAINTAIN PROB30S
FOR TSRA AT EET, MGM, AND AUO GIVEN TRENDS IN LATEST GUIDANCE,
BUT CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW. IF ANY SHOWER ACTIVITY MOVES OVER A
TERMINAL, THAT LOCATION COULD SEE A TEMPORARY DROP IN VIS DUE TO
ISOLATED FOG DEVELOPMENT IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. HOWEVER,
GIVEN THE CONFIDENCE IS LOW FOR ANY SHOWER ACTIVITY, I'LL HOLD OFF
MENTIONING THE LOWER VIS IN ANY TAF SITE.
NOTE: AMD NOT SKED WILL CONTINUE FOR THE AUO TAF UNTIL DATA
ISSUES WITH OBSERVATIONS ARE RESOLVED.
25/OWEN
FIRE WEATHER
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED RAIN CHANCES WILL PERSIST TODAY, BUT
CONDITIONS GENERALLY BECOME LESS FAVORABLE FOR WETTING RAINS
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL BE THE MAIN STORY
OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS HEAT INDICES
APPROACH AND TOP 100 DEGREES. FIRE WEATHER IMPACTS ARE NOT
ANTICIPATED AS THE HUMID AIR MASS BUILDS IN.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 89 68 90 73 / 20 10 20 0
ANNISTON 88 68 89 73 / 20 10 20 10
BIRMINGHAM 88 70 91 75 / 20 20 10 0
TUSCALOOSA 88 71 91 75 / 10 10 10 0
CALERA 90 69 93 74 / 20 20 10 0
AUBURN 84 70 88 73 / 40 10 20 10
MONTGOMERY 86 70 90 73 / 30 20 10 10
TROY 85 69 90 72 / 40 20 20 10
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...25/OWEN
AVIATION...25/OWEN
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