424
FXUS64 KBMX 260553
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1253 AM CDT WED AUG 26 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1252 AM CDT WED AUG 26 2026
- STORMS: RAIN CHANCES INCREASE FROM MID TO LATE THIS WEEK WITH
PERIODIC SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BECOMING SCATTERED WEDNESDAY
AND POTENTIALLY MORE WIDESPREAD THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
DISCUSSION
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1138 PM CDT TUE AUG 25 2026
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND EARLIER VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY
INDICATED A FEW AREAS OF SURFACE BOUNDARIES AND CONVERGENCE ACROSS
THE AREA. WHILE THE WEATHER PATTERN AND NIGHTTIME STABILITY WILL
PROMOTE FAIR-WEATHER CONDITIONS OVERALL, SOME HIGH-RES GUIDANCE
SHOW THE POTENTIAL FOR A VERY SPARSE OCCURRENCE OF SHORT-LIVED
SHOWERS TONIGHT, LIKELY ASSOCIATED WITH THESE FEATURES; NOTHING
SIGNIFICANT, JUST A DON'T-BE-SURPRISED MENTION.
FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY, A WEAKNESS IN THE 500 MB RIDGE
WILL EXIST THANKS TO LONGWAVE TROUGHING NEAR THE GREAT LAKES
REGION. THIS SETUP WILL ALLOW FOR SEVERAL MID-LEVEL IMPULSES TO
MEANDER ACROSS ALABAMA AND ITS VICINITY. ASSOCIATED LIFT AND AN
INCREASE IN DEW POINTS/MOISTURE WILL PROMOTE PERIODS OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS, ESPECIALLY FROM AFTERNOON TO EVENING. ENSEMBLE
DATA CONTINUE TO SUGGEST SCATTERED COVERAGE ON WEDNESDAY, FOLLOWED
BY POTENTIALLY MORE WIDESPREAD ACTIVITY ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS
A SURFACE FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTH. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
COVERAGE DURING THE WEEKEND SEEMS TO DECREASE AS 500 MB RIDGING
BECOMES A BIT MORE DEFINED.
NO TEMPERATURE EXTREMES ARE NOTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD,
FEATURING SEASONAL HIGHS AND LOWS ALONGSIDE MUGGINESS.
89^GSATTERWHITE
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1252 AM CDT WED AUG 26 2026
AN UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL WORK INTO THE REGION TODAY,
ALLOWING FOR INCREASED RAIN CHANCES INTO THE AFTERNOON. TCL, BHM,
AND EET ARE ALL CARRYING TEMPO GROUPS THROUGH 26/24Z FOR TSRA,
SINCE CONFIDENCE IN COVERAGE HERE IS HIGHER. OTHERWISE, MGM AND
AUO WILL CARRY PROB30 GROUPS THROUGH 27/01Z FOR TSRA DUE TO LOWER
CONFIDENCE. OUTSIDE OF THE AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS, VFR
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR MOST OF THIS UPCOMING TAF PERIOD.
NOTE: AMD NOT SKED CONTINUES FOR AUO DUE TO A WEATHER OBSERVATION
OUTAGE.
/44/
FIRE WEATHER
THERE ARE NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
INCREASING DEW POINTS AND AN APPROACHING WEATHER SYSTEM ARE
FORECAST TO RESULT IN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON
WEDNESDAY, POTENTIALLY BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD ON THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 93 70 91 70 / 30 20 50 40
ANNISTON 91 70 89 70 / 20 20 50 50
BIRMINGHAM 92 72 89 72 / 50 30 50 50
TUSCALOOSA 94 72 91 72 / 60 40 50 50
CALERA 92 72 90 71 / 50 30 50 50
AUBURN 90 72 86 72 / 40 30 60 50
MONTGOMERY 95 73 92 72 / 30 30 60 50
TROY 94 71 90 70 / 40 30 80 50
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...89
AVIATION.../44/
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