552
FXUS64 KBMX 270504
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1204 AM CDT THU AUG 27 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1203 AM CDT THU AUG 27 2026
- RAIN CHANCES INCREASE THROUGH FRIDAY, WITH HIGHER CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH AFTERNOON.
DISCUSSION
(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1203 AM CDT THU AUG 27 2026
THE RADAR IS CLEAR ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER,
THERE IS A CLUSTER OF STORMS OVER MS MOVING SEWD THROUGH THE
UPPER NW FLOW. IN THE UPPER LEVELS WE CONTINUE WITH A LARGE RIDGE
AZ/NM AND INTO NRN MEXICO AND UPPER OVER ERN CANADA EXTENDING SWD
INTO ERN CONUS. THIS CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO FOR THE MOST PART
GO OVER MS AND INTO PORTIONS OF SRN AL. HIRES GUIDANCE DOES SHOW
A SCATTERING OF POSSIBLE RETURNS OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS ACROSS
CENTRAL AL, GENERALLY S OF THE SURFACE BOUNDARY (SRN HALF OF
CENTRAL AL). BEST CHANCES FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT WILL BE
ACROSS OUR SW COUNTIES. WITH SOME MORE MEANDERINGS OF OUR SURFACE
BOUNDARY TODAY EXPECTED, OUR BEST CHANCE OF STORMS BOTH THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY WILL BE ACROSS THE S/SE PORTIONS OF THE AREA AS
ANOTHER WAVE/DISTURBANCE COMES THROUGH THE NW UPPER FLOW AND
AROUND THE BASE OF THE E CONUS TROUGH. ALTHOUGH OUR SURFACE
BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO FIZZLE OUT ON THURSDAY, ANOTHER BOUNDARY
WILL QUICKLY MOVE IN TO REPLACE IT FROM THE NW ON FRIDAY. UPPER
RIDGING IS EXPECTED TO EXPAND EWD TO MUCH OF THE SRN US OVER THE
WEEKEND. THIS IN CONJUNCTION WITH SURFACE RIDGING BUILDING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE SE US WILL SUPPRESS SOME OF THE MORE WIDESPREAD
CONVECTION THIS WEEKEND INTO THE REMAINDER OF THE EXTENDED EXCEPT
FOR THE MORE ISOLATED DIURNALLY ENHANCED STORMS FROM THE HEAT OF
THE DAY. WE WILL NOT BE LOOKING AT HEAT ADVISORIES JUST YET, HEAT
INDICES WILL BEGIN TO CREEP BACK UP AS WE PROGRESS THROUGH THIS
WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK.
08
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 748 PM CDT WED AUG 26 2026
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE CONTINUING ACROSS THE SRN HALF OF
CENTRAL ALABAMA THIS EVENING S OF A STALLED BOUNDARY. SHRA OR
TSRA MENTIONS ARE IN FOR ALL SITES EXCEPT BHM FOR THE NEXT COUPLE
OF HOURS, EXCEPT A COUPLE HOURS LONGER POSSIBLE AT AUO. THERE IS A
MEDIUM CHANCE OF ANOTHER WAVE OF SHOWERS TOWARD MORNING AND
ADDITIONAL TSRA IN THE LATE AFTERNOON WITH HEATING.
NOTE: AMD NOT SKED CONTINUES FOR AUO DUE TO A WEATHER OBSERVATION
OUTAGE.
08
FIRE WEATHER
THERE ARE NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD ON THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN AREAS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 91 70 91 68 / 30 30 20 10
ANNISTON 89 70 89 68 / 40 40 30 10
BIRMINGHAM 89 71 90 69 / 20 20 20 0
TUSCALOOSA 91 72 93 70 / 20 20 20 0
CALERA 90 71 90 69 / 20 20 30 10
AUBURN 87 72 86 71 / 60 60 60 20
MONTGOMERY 92 72 91 71 / 50 60 50 10
TROY 91 70 88 69 / 70 70 70 20
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...08
AVIATION...08
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