730
FXUS64 KBMX 291107
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
607 AM CDT SAT AUG 29 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 607 AM CDT SAT AUG 29 2026
- HIGHEST RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN ACROSS SOUTHEAST CENTRAL
ALABAMA THROUGH SUNDAY, WITH PASSING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP EACH AFTERNOON.
- A HOTTER AND DRIER PATTERN IS FORECAST TO RETURN ACROSS THE DEEP
SOUTH BY THE MIDDLE AND END OF NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES SLOWLY
RETURN TO THE MID 90S BY WEDNESDAY AND PERHAPS DANGEROUS LEVELS
ONCE AGAIN BY FRIDAY.
DISCUSSION
(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1226 AM CDT SAT AUG 29 2026
WEAK UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO MEANDER ACROSS THE GULF COAST THIS
EVENING, AND WILL CONTINUE TO DO SO THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY. THAT
WILL KEEP THE FOCUS OF DIURNAL CONVECTION TO OUR SOUTH. LATEST
COMPUTER MODEL RUNS ARE IN A BIT MORE AGREEMENT IN HANDLING THAT
SHORTWAVE ENERGY, LARGELY SHEARING IT OUT AND SCOOTING IT WESTWARD
ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF.
AS WE GET INTO SUNDAY, AND THEN ESPECIALLY EARLY NEXT WEEK, THE BIG
UPPER LEVEL HIGH SHIFTS FROM THE WESTERN STATES TO THE EAST. THIS
WILL PUT A CAP ON MOST CONVECTION IN OUR AREA, AND ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB WELL BACK UP INTO THE 90S. ANOTHER ROUND OF
HEAT ADVISORIES IS BECOMING MORE LIKELY STARTING AROUND TUESDAY OR
WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK.
/61/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 607 AM CDT SAT AUG 29 2026
VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO PREVAIL AS WE APPROACH SUNRISE. NO
WIDESPREAD FOG DEVELOPMENT HAS BEEN NOTED ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA THUS FAR, AND WILL REMOVE ALL CHANCES FOR LOWER VIS FROM THE
TAFS. MEANWHILE, LOW STRATUS IS BEING PICKED UP ON THE NIGHT FOG
CHANNEL OF SATELLITE IMAGERY VERY CLOSE TO AUO, AND WILL LEAVE
IFR CEILINGS THERE THROUGH 13Z. VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE DAY TODAY WITH SCATTERED SHRA/TSRA DEVELOPMENT NEAR
MGM AND AUO DURING THE AFTERNOON. PROB30S REMAIN IN THE FORECAST
FOR THOSE SITES FROM 18Z TO 00Z AS A RESULT. VARIABLE OR CALM
WINDS THIS MORNING WILL BECOME SOUTHEASTERLY AROUND 5 KNOTS THIS
AFTERNOON.
NOTE: AMD NOT SKED CONTINUES FOR AUO DUE TO A WEATHER OBSERVATION
OUTAGE.
56/GDG
FIRE WEATHER
WITH RELATIVELY HIGH HUMIDITY AND LIGHT WINDS, THERE ARE NO FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 92 70 92 70 / 10 0 10 0
ANNISTON 90 70 90 70 / 20 10 20 0
BIRMINGHAM 92 72 91 72 / 10 10 10 0
TUSCALOOSA 95 73 94 73 / 10 10 10 0
CALERA 92 71 91 72 / 20 10 10 0
AUBURN 87 71 87 72 / 30 10 20 10
MONTGOMERY 93 72 93 73 / 30 10 20 10
TROY 90 70 91 71 / 40 10 30 10
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION.../61/
AVIATION...56/GDG
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