491
FXUS64 KBMX 261121
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
621 AM CDT SAT SEP 26 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 549 AM CDT SAT SEP 26 2026
- COOLER, DRIER EARLY FALL PATTERN: A NOTICEABLY COOLER AND DRIER
AIR MASS SETTLES ACROSS CENTRAL AL THROUGH THE WEEKEND, BRINGING
DAYTIME HIGHS IN THE LOWER-TO-MIDDLE 80S AND NIGHTTIME LOWS IN
THE 50S AND 60S.
DISCUSSION
(SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1053 PM CDT FRI SEP 25 2026
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE REGION WILL DELIVER PLEASANT, DRY
WEATHER THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM
THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S AND OVERNIGHT LOWS FALLING INTO THE MID
50S TO LOW 60S. DRIER AIR AND INCREASED SUBSIDENCE WILL KEEP
CONDITIONS RAIN-FREE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. ALTHOUGH A WEAK
SHORTWAVE MOVES INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY,
FOLLOWED BY A STRONGER UPPER TROUGH LATE IN THE WEEK, LIMITED
MOISTURE WILL PRESERVE DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH MIDWEEK. SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN LATE IN THE WEEK AS THE UPPER TROUGH
AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT APPROACH CENTRAL ALABAMA.
A RETURN TO SOUTHERLY FLOW EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL BRING WARMER
TEMPERATURES TO THE AREA. HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO REBOUND INTO THE
UPPER 80S AND LOWER 90S BY TUESDAY, WITH NEAR-90-DEGREE HEAT
PERSISTING THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WORKWEEK.
16
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 621 AM CDT SAT SEP 26 2026
PATCHY FOG, OCCASIONALLY DENSE, IS FAVORING BODIES OF WATER AND
SELECT VALLEY LOCATIONS ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA EARLY THIS
MORNING. TRENDS HAVE FAVORED A MAJORITY OF TAF SITES NOT BEING
AFFECTED, ASIDE FROM MGM WHICH HAS FLUCTUATED FROM CLEAR
VISIBILITY TO 3/4 MILE. FOG AFFECTING MGM SHOULD CEASE AROUND 13Z.
THROUGH THE REST OF TODAY, VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST, FEATURING
FAIR-WEATHER CLOUDS AND A NORTHERLY BREEZE AROUND 5 KNOTS, EASING
AT SUNDOWN.
89^GSATTERWHITE
FIRE WEATHER
DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH LIGHT WINDS
KEEPING OVERALL CONCERNS MINIMAL. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES WILL DROP INTO THE 30 TO 40% RANGE OVER THE WEEKEND, AND
REACH THE UPPER 20 TO 30% RANGE EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE DRYING
TREND CONTINUES AND LIGHT WINDS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 84 55 82 51 / 0 0 0 0
ANNISTON 82 55 81 51 / 0 0 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 84 59 83 56 / 0 0 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 88 60 87 57 / 0 0 0 0
CALERA 85 58 85 55 / 0 0 0 0
AUBURN 82 58 83 56 / 0 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 86 61 86 56 / 0 0 0 0
TROY 85 59 86 55 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...89^GSATTERWHITE
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