945
FXUS64 KBMX 270003
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
703 PM CDT SAT SEP 26 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 702 PM CDT SAT SEP 26 2026
- COOLER, DRIER EARLY FALL PATTERN: A NOTICEABLY COOLER AND DRIER
AIR MASS SETTLES ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH THE WEEKEND,
BRINGING DAYTIME HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 80S AND NIGHTTIME
LOWS IN THE 50S TO THE LOWER 60S.
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1222 PM CDT SAT SEP 26 2026
WE WERE TREATED TO ANOTHER COOL START THIS MORNING WITH TEMPS
GENERALLY IN THE MID 50S TO LOW 60S. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUING TO PROGRESS EACH INTO THE REGION
AS A NOR'EASTER MOVES JUST OFF THE EAST COAST. THIS UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL HELP MAINTAIN PLEASANT
CONDITIONS IN PLACE ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW
TO MID 80S, LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOW 60S, AND RAIN-FREE
CONDITIONS.
THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN BEGINS TO CHANGE EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A
WEAK SHORTWAVE CUTS INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY ON MONDAY AND
TUESDAY, FOLLOWED BY A STRONGER UPPER TROUGH LATE IN THE WORK
WEEK. HOWEVER, LIMITED MOISTURE IN PLACE KEEPS DRY CONDITIONS IN
PLACE THROUGH MID WEEK. LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
STORMS RETURN TO THE FORECAST LATE IN THE WEEK AS THE
AFOREMENTIONED UPPER TROUGH AND ACCOMPANYING COLD FRONT NEAR THE
REGION.
A MORE SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNS BY EARLY NEXT WEEK WHICH WILL
UNFORTUNATELY LEAD TO WARMING TEMPERATURES ACROSS CENTRAL
ALABAMA. HIGH TEMPS REBOUND INTO THE UPPER 80S TO 90 DEGREES BY
TUESDAY AND LOOK TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE WORK WEEK.
95/CASTILLO
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 702 PM CDT SAT SEP 26 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH THE 24 HOUR
FORECAST WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS EASTERN CONUS. WINDS
WILL BE LIGHT/VARIABLE TO NEAR CALM OVERNIGHT AND NW-N 5-9KTS
DURING THE DAY WITH MIXING.
08
FIRE WEATHER
DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH LIGHT WINDS
KEEPING OVERALL CONCERNS MINIMAL. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES WILL DROP INTO THE 30 TO 40% RANGE THIS AFTERNOON, AND
REACH THE UPPER 20 TO 30% RANGE SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK AS
THE DRYING TREND CONTINUES AND LIGHT WINDS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 55 84 53 86 / 0 0 0 0
ANNISTON 55 82 52 84 / 0 0 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 60 85 57 86 / 0 0 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 60 88 58 88 / 0 0 0 0
CALERA 59 86 57 87 / 0 0 0 0
AUBURN 58 84 57 85 / 0 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 61 87 58 87 / 0 0 0 0
TROY 60 87 57 87 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...95/CASTILLO
AVIATION...08
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