849
FXUS64 KBMX 270457
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1157 PM CDT SAT SEP 26 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1155 PM CDT SAT SEP 26 2026
- COOLER, DRIER EARLY FALL PATTERN: A DRY AND COOLER AIR MASS WILL
BE IN PLACE ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK, WITH DAYTIME HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 80S AND
NIGHTTIME LOWS IN THE 50S TO THE LOWER 60S..
DISCUSSION
(SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1155 PM CDT SAT SEP 26 2026
THIS EVENING, SURFACE RIDGING IS IN PLACE ACROSS EASTERN CONUS.
IN THE UPPER LEVELS, A RIDGE IS PRESENT ACROSS MEXICO WITH A
LARGE LOW JUST OFF OF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST RESULTING IN
NORTHWEST FLOW INTO ALABAMA. IN THE SHORT TERM, LOOK FOR PLEASANT
TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH LOW HUMIDITY AND RAIN FREE CONDITIONS.
THERE WILL BE SOME WEAK DISTURBANCES THROUGH THE UPPER FLOW
AROUND THE TROUGH, BUT LOWER MOISTURE WILL BE QUITE LIMITED WITH
ONLY SOME MID/UPPER CLOUDS EXPECTED. BY THE MIDDLE OF THE UPCOMING
WEEK, A BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE BACK NORTHWARD AS A WARM FRONT
BEFORE FIZZLING OUT YIELDING INCREASED MOISTURE ACROSS CENTRAL
ALABAMA WITH OVERALL SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST ONSHORE FLOW. AT THE SAME
TIME, THE UPPER RIDGE OVER MEXICO WILL GET INFRINGED UPON BY A LOW
MOVING EASTWARD OUT OF CALIFORNIA INTO NEW MEXICO WITH WEAK FLOW
OVER ALABAMA. TOWARD THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK, GUIDANCE SHOWS
TEMPERATURES MODERATING UPWARD WITH OUR RETURN TO A WARMER ONSHORE
FLOW. MOISTURE WILL NEED TO RECOVER A BIT BEFORE WE CAN EXPECT
ANY SIGNIFICANT RAIN CHANCES. LOW RAIN CHANCES RETURN BY THURSDAY
FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA. HOWEVER, MORE SUBSTANTIAL CHANCES HOLD
OFF UNTIL NEXT WEEKEND AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING FRONT.
08
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 702 PM CDT SAT SEP 26 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH THE 24 HOUR
FORECAST WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS EASTERN CONUS. WINDS
WILL BE LIGHT/VARIABLE TO NEAR CALM OVERNIGHT AND NW-N 5-9KTS
DURING THE DAY WITH MIXING.
08
FIRE WEATHER
DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE UPCOMING
WEEK WITH LIGHT WINDS KEEPING OVERALL CONCERNS LOW. AFTERNOON
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP INTO THE MIDDLE 20 TO
LOWER 30 PERCENT RANGE SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY AS THE DRYING TREND
CONTINUES. HUMIDITY VALUES SLOWLY START TO INCREASE STARTING
WEDNESDAY. RAIN CHANCES RETURN FOR THE LATTER PART OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 55 84 54 86 / 0 0 0 0
ANNISTON 55 82 53 84 / 0 0 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 60 85 58 86 / 0 0 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 60 88 59 88 / 0 0 0 0
CALERA 59 86 57 87 / 0 0 0 0
AUBURN 58 84 57 84 / 0 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 61 87 58 86 / 0 0 0 0
TROY 60 87 57 86 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...08
AVIATION...08
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