130
FXUS64 KBMX 111144
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
644 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 644 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2026
- LINGERING MOISTURE: POST TROPICAL CYCLONE ISAIAS WILL BRING
SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE TONIGHT, WITH CONDITIONS
GRADUALLY IMPROVING THROUGH SUNDAY.
- WARMING TREND: UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING WILL ESTABLISH A WARM AND DRY
PATTERN EARLY NEXT WEEK, PUSHING HIGHS INTO THE LOW 90S BY
MID-WEEK.
DISCUSSION
(SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1103 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2026
SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS EVENING REVEALS THE DECAYING SWIRL FROM
POST TROPICAL CYCLONE ISAIAS ACROSS ALABAMA. LINGERING LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE IS RESULTING IN A FEW POCKETS OF LIGHT RAIN/DRIZZLE AND
LOW LEVEL CLOUDS LATE THIS EVENING. THIS WILL LIKELY BE THE THEME
OVERNIGHT WITH CONDITIONS GRADUALLY IMPROVING THROUGH THE DAY
SUNDAY. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS IN EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE
REMNANTS OF ISAIAS CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST-NORTHEAST. THIS WILL
PROVIDE A STRETCH OF WARM AND DRY WEATHER ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA.
HIGHS LOOK TO REBOUND INTO THE LOW 90S BY MID WEEK WITH LOWS
GENERALLY IN THE 50S/60S.
95/CASTILLO
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 644 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2026
MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING AT
MAINLY KBHM AND KEET, AS LOW CLOUDS AND DRIZZLE CONTINUE TO
SLOWLY MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST ALONG WITH THE REMNANTS OF ISAIAS.
BY MID MORNING, LOW LEVEL MOISTURE SHOULD DECREASE WITH
CONDITIONS SLOWLY IMPROVING. BY THIS AFTERNOON, ALL TAF SITES
SHOULD BE VFR. WINDS WILL BE BRISK TODAY, GUSTING TO AROUND
20 MPH, WITH WEAKENING TO NEAR CALM WINDS OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.
24
FIRE WEATHER
LIGHT TROPICAL RAINS WILL GRADUALLY COME TO AN END BY SUNDAY
MORNING AS ISAIAS MOVES NORTH ACROSS THE STATE. DRIER AIR MOVES
BACK ACROSS THE REGION LATE THIS WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK AS
RIDGING BUILDS BACK IN. MIN RHS WILL FALL INTO THE 30-40% RANGE
DAILY. HOWEVER, LIGHT WINDS WILL NEGATE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 77 54 86 55 / 20 0 0 0
ANNISTON 76 55 85 57 / 10 0 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 79 58 87 60 / 0 0 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 86 57 91 58 / 0 0 0 0
CALERA 79 57 86 58 / 0 0 0 0
AUBURN 77 59 85 60 / 0 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 82 57 87 58 / 0 0 0 0
TROY 81 58 86 58 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...95/CASTILLO
AVIATION...24
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