306
FXUS64 KBMX 130559
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1259 AM CDT TUE OCT 13 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1256 AM CDT TUE OCT 13 2026
- LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCE FOR PATCHY FOG DEVELOPMENT TONIGHT,
ESPECIALLY NEAR BODIES OF WATER.
- HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL THIS WEEK, WITH
MEDIUM TO HIGH CHANCES OF RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES.
- COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED BY NEXT SATURDAY, BUT HOW MUCH
COOLER REMAINS UNCERTAIN. LITTLE TO NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED
WITH THIS COLD FRONT.
DISCUSSION
(TUESDAY THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1056 PM CDT MON OCT 12 2026
BROAD HIGH PRESSURE IS GOING TO PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THIS WEEK
LEADING TO ABOVE NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES EACH DAY. WITH THE DRY
AIR MASS IN PLACE, OVERNIGHT LOWS ARE EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE
UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S EACH MORNING, BUT THOSE COOL MORNINGS WILL
WARM UP QUICKLY AFTER SUNRISE WITH SEVERAL LOCATIONS APPROACHING
OR BREAKING HIGH TEMPERATURE RECORDS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
A TROUGH MOVES THROUGH THE MIDWEST FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AND WILL
PUSH A DRY COLD FRONT SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH CENTRAL AL FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. LITTLE TO NO RAIN IS EXPECTED FROM
THIS, BUT MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL ADVECT INTO THE REGION
SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
25/OWEN
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1256 AM CDT TUE OCT 13 2026
ASIDE FROM TRANSIENT FOG DRIFTING ACROSS THE FIELD AT TCL
OVERNIGHT, CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN VFR THROUGH THE
DURATION OF THIS FORECAST CYCLE. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP
CONDITIONS CLEAR WITH LIGHT TO CALM WINDS.
NOTE: WILL CONTINUE WITH AMD NOT SKED AT AUO DUE TO MISSING
OBSERVATIONAL DATA.
/61/
FIRE WEATHER
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN PLACE FOR MUCH OF
THE UPCOMING WEEK. MINRHS WILL DROP INTO THE MID 30-40% RANGE. A
FEW LOCATIONS IN THE WEST WILL SEE A LOW CHANCE OF DROPPING BELOW
30% FOR A FEW HOURS OVER THE NEXT FEW AFTERNOONS IF EFFICIENT
MIXING CAN OCCUR. THE MAIN STORY WILL BE A DRY COLD FRONT THAT IS
EXPECTED NEXT WEEKEND BRINGING MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIR WITH
BREEZY CONDITIONS FOR THE WEEKEND.
CLIMATE
ISSUED AT 110 PM CDT SUN OCT 11 2026
RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES:
TUE OCT. 13:
KBHM: 89/1953
KEET: 89/2017
KANB: 90/1954
KTCL: 90/1963
WED OCT. 14:
KBHM: 89/1984
KEET: 89/2016
KANB: 88/1975
KTCL: 90/1962
KMGM: 91/1883
THU OCT. 15:
KBHM: 90/1897
KEET: 92/2025
KANB: 87/1975
KTCL: 91/1962
KMGM: 92/1881
FRI OCT. 16:
KBHM: 90/1897
KEET: 90/2025
KANB: 87/1965
KTCL: 90/1962
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 88 57 89 59 / 0 0 0 0
ANNISTON 87 60 88 60 / 0 0 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 89 62 90 62 / 0 0 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 91 60 92 60 / 0 0 0 0
CALERA 89 60 90 60 / 0 0 0 0
AUBURN 87 63 88 63 / 0 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 88 60 89 60 / 0 0 0 0
TROY 88 59 89 60 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...25/OWEN
AVIATION.../61/
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