962
FXUS64 KBMX 140553
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1253 AM CDT WED OCT 14 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1249 AM CDT WED OCT 14 2026
- HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL THIS WEEK, WITH
MEDIUM TO HIGH CHANCES OF RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES.
- A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY,
BRINGING COOLER TEMPERATURES TO THE AREA FOR THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1023 PM CDT TUE OCT 13 2026
THE WARM WEATHER CONTINUES TO BE THE MAIN STORY THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS DAYTIME HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO RUN
SEVERAL DEGREES HIGHER THAN WHAT IS TYPICAL FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR. WE WILL LIKELY APPROACH AND POTENTIALLY BREAK HIGH
TEMPERATURE RECORDS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS THIS PERSISTENT
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ACROSS THE REGION. THIS PATTERN REALLY
DOESN'T START TO CHANGE FOR CENTRAL AL UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING WHEN
A TROUGH SLIDES THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY AND INTO THE APPALACHIANS
BY FRIDAY NIGHT. THIS TROUGH WILL PUSH A DRY COLD FRONT
SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE REGION DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY,
LEADING TO A SHARP DROP IN TEMPERATURES FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.
WE'RE NOT REALLY EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF RAINFALL WITH THIS
FRONTAL PASSAGE, SO THE MAIN IMPACT WILL BE GUSTY WINDS AND THE
DROP IN TEMPERATURES. THE HIGH PRESSURE THAT BUILDS IN BEHIND THE
FRONT SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY WILL SHIFT EASTWARD OVER THE CAROLINAS
BY SUNDAY MORNING LEADING TO A WEDGE FRONT SETTING UP FOR THE
EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL SUPPORT DRIER CONDITIONS
PERSISTING THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.
25/OWEN
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1249 AM CDT WED OCT 14 2026
ONCE AGAIN, TRANSIENT SHALLOW FOG MAY BRIEFLY RESTRICT
VISIBILITIES BELOW 3 MILES AT TCL OR MGM OVERNIGHT. SIMILAR TO
LAST NIGHT, ANY FOG THAT DOES AFFECT THOSE TERMINALS (OR ANY
OTHERS, FOR THAT MATTER), WILL BURN OFF QUICKLY AFTER SUNRISE.
ASIDE FROM THAT, CLEAR SKIES AND VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOUR FORECAST PERIODS.
/61/
FIRE WEATHER
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE END
OF THE WEEK WITH MINRHS DROPPING INTO THE LOW 30% RANGE FOR MANY
LOCATIONS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY LEADING TO GUSTY WINDS,
LITTLE TO NO RAINFALL, AND MUCH DRIER AND COOLER CONDITIONS
BEHIND THE FRONT.
CLIMATE
ISSUED AT 110 PM CDT SUN OCT 11 2026
RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES:
WED OCT. 14:
KBHM: 89/1984
KEET: 89/2016
KANB: 88/1975
KTCL: 90/1962
KMGM: 91/1883
THU OCT. 15:
KBHM: 90/1897
KEET: 92/2025
KANB: 87/1975
KTCL: 91/1962
KMGM: 92/1881
FRI OCT. 16:
KBHM: 90/1897
KEET: 90/2025
KANB: 87/1965
KTCL: 90/1962
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 89 60 88 59 / 0 0 0 0
ANNISTON 88 61 88 61 / 0 0 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 90 64 88 64 / 0 0 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 92 61 90 61 / 0 0 0 0
CALERA 90 61 88 62 / 0 0 0 0
AUBURN 88 64 87 63 / 0 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 89 61 88 61 / 0 0 0 0
TROY 89 61 87 61 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...25/OWEN
AVIATION.../61/
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