267
FXUS64 KBRO 242316 AAA
AFDBRO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
616 PM CDT THU APR 24 2025
..NEW AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 106 PM CDT THU APR 24 2025
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING LOOKS TO BUILD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD, SUPPORT BROAD SUBSIDENCE ACROSS THE
AREA. SUSTAINED SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO ADVECT
WARM AND HUMID AIR TO THE REGION. THIS PATTERN WILL ALLOW FOR
INCREASED CLOUD COVER OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT AS
OVERNIGHT COOLING AND LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS SUPPORT THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SOME LOW STRATUS. CLOUD COVER IS EXPECTED TO
DISSIPATE DURING THE DAY FRIDAY, WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR ZERO THROUGH THE
PERIOD. LOW TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE LOW TO MID 70S
TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT, WHILE HIGH TEMPERATURES FRIDAY AFTERNOON
ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 106 PM CDT THU APR 24 2025
THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE GRADUALLY DRIFTS SOUTH INTO MID NEXT WEEK AS
MULTIPLE TROUGHS SWING INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS WILL
MAINTAIN SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT AND GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS
ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS THROUGH TUESDAY, WITH NEAR TO SLIGHTLY
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. SHORTWAVES WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
ENHANCE LIFT AND INSTABILITY, BRINGING A LOW 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS, MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN RANCHLANDS. EXPECT
BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS EACH AFTERNOON.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 607 PM CDT THU APR 24 2025
MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD TRANSITION TO MVFR A FEW HOURS
FOLLOWING SUNRISE THIS EVENING AS CEILINGS LOWER AT ALL TAF SITES.
BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR/LOWER CEILINGS ARE LIKELY TO PERSIST AT
KBRO LEADING UP TO SUNSET. OVERNIGHT, WINDS WEAKEN AND CEILINGS
GRADUALLY LOWER, BUT LIKELY TO REMAIN MVFR. FOLLOWING SUNRISE
FRIDAY MORNING, RIDGING ALOFT SHOULD LEAD TO MORE SCATTERED,
BROKEN AT TIMES, VFR CONDITIONS AS SOUTHEASTERLY TO SOUTHERLY
WINDS INCREASE TO 10-15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20-25 KNOTS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 106 PM CDT THU APR 24 2025
TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...GENERALLY FAVORABLE MARINE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD, HOWEVER SMALL
CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION HEADLINES MAY BE NEEDED FOR THE
LAGUNA MADRE THIS EVENING. WIND SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE
OVERNIGHT, THOUGH THEY MAY BRIEFLY EXCEED 15 KTS OVER PORTIONS OF
THE LAGUNA MADRE FRIDAY, POSSIBLY REQUIRING ADDITIONAL SMALL CRAFT
SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION HEADLINES.
SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...MODERATE TO FRESH SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS
CONTINUE INTO LATE NEXT WEEK, WITH SCEC CONDITIONS LIKELY ACROSS
THE BAY NEARLY EVERY AFTERNOON. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
BUILD, REACHING SCEC CONDITIONS NEXT WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 74 86 73 86 / 0 0 0 0
HARLINGEN 71 88 71 88 / 0 0 0 0
MCALLEN 75 92 74 91 / 0 0 0 0
RIO GRANDE CITY 74 91 73 92 / 10 0 0 0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 74 80 73 80 / 0 0 0 0
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 73 85 72 84 / 0 0 0 0
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...60-BE
LONG TERM....56-HALLMAN
AVIATION...65-IRISH
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