824
FXUS64 KBRO 260539 AAA
AFDBRO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1239 AM CDT SAT APR 26 2025
..NEW AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 141 PM CDT FRI APR 25 2025
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS LOOKS TO PERSIST
THROUGH THE PERIOD. BROAD SUBSIDENCE ALOFT WILL LIKELY LIMIT RAIN
CHANCES THROUGH THE PERIOD. SUSTAINED SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW
WILL CONTINUE TO ADVECT WARM, MOIST AIR TO THE REGION. THIS WILL
SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF LOW STRATUS CLOUDS OVERNIGHT, AND A VERY
LOW (<10%) CHANCE FOR SOME LIGHT SHOWERS SATURDAY MORNING.
LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN
THE LOW TO MID 70S, WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES SATURDAY AFTERNOON IN THE
UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 141 PM CDT FRI APR 25 2025
THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE GRADUALLY DRIFTS SOUTH INTO MID NEXT WEEK AS
MULTIPLE TROUGHS SWING INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS WILL
MAINTAIN SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT AND GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS
ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS THROUGH TUESDAY, WITH NEAR TO SLIGHTLY
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. SHORTWAVES WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
ENHANCE LIFT AND INSTABILITY, BRINGING A LOW (20 PERCENT) CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, MAINLY ACROSS THE
NORTHERN RANCHLANDS AND ALONG THE RIO GRANDE IN THE UPPER VALLEY.
A MEDIUM (40 PERCENT) CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS
EXPECTED FRIDAY FOR ALL OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. EXPECT BREEZY TO
WINDY CONDITIONS EACH AFTERNOON, ESPECIALLY MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
BRIEF WIND ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED FOR THE LOWER RGV MONDAY AND
TUESDAY.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1234 AM CDT SAT APR 26 2025
MVFR TO VFR WILL PREVAIL AT THE AERODROMES THROUGH THE NEXT 24
HOURS. LIGHT WINDS TONIGHT WILL BECOME BREEZY ON SATURDAY BEFORE
DIMINISHING AROUND SUNSET. MOSTLY CLOUDY AND RAIN-FREE SKIES ARE
ALSO ANTICIPATED.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 141 PM CDT FRI APR 25 2025
TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...GENERALLY FAVORABLE MARINE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD, HOWEVER WIND SPEEDS ON
THE LAGUNA MADRE MAY BRIEFLY REQUIRE SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE
CAUTION HEADLINES SATURDAY AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE LIGHT TO MODERATE
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS ARE EXPECTED FOR
THE COASTAL WATERS.
SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...MODERATE TO FRESH SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS
CONTINUE INTO LATE NEXT WEEK, WITH SCEC CONDITIONS LIKELY ACROSS
THE BAY NEARLY EVERY AFTERNOON. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
BUILD, REACHING SCEC CONDITIONS MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK. BRIEF SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS THE BAY EACH AFTERNOON AND
OFFSHORE LATE IN THE WEEK. THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS RETURNS,
MAINLY FRIDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 72 86 74 87 / 0 0 0 0
HARLINGEN 69 89 71 90 / 0 0 0 0
MCALLEN 72 92 75 93 / 0 0 0 0
RIO GRANDE CITY 70 94 72 95 / 0 0 0 0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 74 81 75 81 / 0 0 0 0
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 71 85 72 86 / 0 0 0 0
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
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