249
FXUS64 KBRO 101140 AAB
AFDBRO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
640 AM CDT THU JUL 10 2025
..NEW AVIATION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1032 PM CDT WED JUL 9 2025
WEAK MID-LEVEL LOW PRESSURE REMAINS SANDWICHED ALONG THE LOWER
TEXAS COAST WITH HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE DESERT SW AND EASTERN
GULF INTO THIS WEEKEND. AT THE SURFACE, HIGH PRESSURE HOLDS ACROSS
THE GULF, MAINTAINING SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. RAIN CHANCES GENERALLY REMAIN VERY
LOW (BELOW 15 PERCENT) THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK, POTENTIALLY
LIMITED BY A LARGE PLUME OF SAHARAN DUST THROUGH FRIDAY. ABOVE
NORMAL MOISTURE RETURNS OVER THE WEEKEND, NUDGING RAIN CHANCES
SLIGHTLY TO NEAR 20 PERCENT, STILL MAINLY ISOLATED ALONG THE SEA
BREEZE SATURDAY INTO MONDAY.
DRIER AIR AND POTENTIALLY ANOTHER ROUND OF SAHARAN DUST ARRIVES
BY MID NEXT WEEK, DROPPING RAIN CHANCES ONCE AGAIN. EXPECT NEAR
NORMAL TEMPERATURES INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH HUMIDITY BOOSTING
THE HEAT RISK FROM MINOR (LEVEL 1 OF 4) THURSDAY TO MOSTLY
MODERATE (LEVEL 2 OF 4) FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ARRIVE BY WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, WITH DRIER
CONDITIONS, MAINTAINING GENERALLY MINOR TO BRIEFLY MODERATE HEAT
RISK. SKIES MAY BE HAZY THROUGH FRIDAY AND AGAIN NEXT WEEK, WITH
PERIODS OF DEGRADED AIR QUALITY FOR SENSITIVE GROUPS.
INCREASING SWELL PERIODS AND SURF AROUND 3 FEET WILL BRING BACK A
MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON TO THE LOWER
TEXAS COASTAL BEACHES.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 636 AM CDT THU JUL 10 2025
BRO RADAR CURRENTLY INDICATES SOME SHOWERS MOVING NORTHWARD ACROSS
THE AREA. WILL INCLUDE VCSH AT ALL RGV AERODROMES THROUGH MID-
MORNING. OTHERWISE, SOME PASSING MID TO HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS AND
LIGHT SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS PREVAIL ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS EARLY
THIS MORNING. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
LIGHT WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL BECOME BREEZY LATER THIS
MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1032 PM CDT WED JUL 9 2025
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE GENERALLY HOLDS ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF
WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD, MAINTAINING SEAS OF GENERALLY 2 TO 4 FEET THROUGH MID TO
LATE NEXT WEEK. SMALL CRAFT CAUTION CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY, MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON ALONG THE BAY AND
NORTHERN NEARSHORE WATERS DUE TO GUSTY WINDS. THERE REMAINS A LOW
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OFFSHORE THROUGH MONDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 91 79 92 80 / 10 0 10 0
HARLINGEN 94 76 94 77 / 10 0 10 0
MCALLEN 95 78 96 80 / 10 0 10 0
RIO GRANDE CITY 94 76 97 77 / 10 10 0 0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 86 80 87 80 / 10 0 0 0
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 90 78 91 79 / 10 0 10 0
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...56-HALLMAN
LONG TERM....56-HALLMAN
AVIATION...63-KC
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