842
FXUS64 KBRO 201733
AFDBRO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1233 PM CDT SUN JUL 20 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1227 PM CDT SUN JUL 20 2025
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL REMAIN PREDOMINANT OVER THE REGION FOR THE
UPCOMING WEEK, AND THE RESULTING SUBSIDENCE WILL CONTINUE BRINGING
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND SEASONABLY HOT WEATHER TO DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.
LITTLE-TO-NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED ANYWHERE THROUGH THURSDAY.
WINDS SHOULD REMAIN OVERALL SOUTHEASTERLY WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO
BRING HUMIDITY TO THE REGION, CAUSING A MODERATE HEAT RISK
THROUGHOUT THE WEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD GENERALLY BE BETWEEN
THE UPPER 90S AND LOWER 100S. LOW TEMPERATURES SHOULD STAY IN THE
MID TO UPPER 70S THROUGHOUT THE WEEK.
BY THE END OF THE WEEK, MODEL AND PROBABILISTIC GUIDANCE IS
SUGGESTING AN UPTICK IN MOISTURE, WHICH COULD BRING A SLIGHTLY
INCREASED CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION TO AREAS ALONG THE COAST AND THE
OFFSHORE GULF WATERS. RIP CURRENT RISK IS CURRENTLY MODERATE, AND IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AT LOCAL AREA BEACHES.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1227 PM CDT SUN JUL 20 2025
WINDS ARE CURRENTLY SOUTHEASTERLY AND GUSTY AT ALL AIRPORTS DUE TO
A TIGHTENED PRESSURE GRADIENT, WITH GUSTY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THROUGH AROUND SUNSET. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL
AIRPORTS THROUGHOUT THE TAF PERIOD.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1227 PM CDT SUN JUL 20 2025
OVERALL FAIR TO MODERATE SEAS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE NEXT WEEK,
WITH WAVE HEIGHTS BETWEEN 2-4 FEET AND LIGHT TO MODERATE
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE
CAUTION CONDITIONS BOTH IN THE LAGUNA MADRE AND IN THE GULF THROUGH
AT LEAST TUESDAY DUE TO ELEVATED WIND SPEEDS DUE TO A SLIGHTLY
TIGHTENED PRESSURE GRADIENT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 94 78 94 79 / 0 0 0 0
HARLINGEN 97 76 97 76 / 0 0 0 0
MCALLEN 99 79 100 79 / 0 0 0 0
RIO GRANDE CITY 101 77 102 77 / 0 0 0 0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 87 80 88 80 / 0 0 0 0
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 93 78 94 78 / 0 0 0 0
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...55-MM
LONG TERM....55-MM
AVIATION...55-MM
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