406
FXUS64 KBRO 202304 AAA
AFDBRO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
604 PM CDT SUN JUL 20 2025
..NEW AVIATION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1227 PM CDT SUN JUL 20 2025
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL REMAIN PREDOMINANT OVER THE REGION FOR THE
UPCOMING WEEK, AND THE RESULTING SUBSIDENCE WILL CONTINUE BRINGING
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND SEASONABLY HOT WEATHER TO DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.
LITTLE-TO-NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED ANYWHERE THROUGH THURSDAY.
WINDS SHOULD REMAIN OVERALL SOUTHEASTERLY WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO
BRING HUMIDITY TO THE REGION, CAUSING A MODERATE HEAT RISK
THROUGHOUT THE WEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD GENERALLY BE BETWEEN
THE UPPER 90S AND LOWER 100S. LOW TEMPERATURES SHOULD STAY IN THE
MID TO UPPER 70S THROUGHOUT THE WEEK.
BY THE END OF THE WEEK, MODEL AND PROBABILISTIC GUIDANCE IS
SUGGESTING AN UPTICK IN MOISTURE, WHICH COULD BRING A SLIGHTLY
INCREASED CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION TO AREAS ALONG THE COAST AND THE
OFFSHORE GULF WATERS. RIP CURRENT RISK IS CURRENTLY MODERATE, AND IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AT LOCAL AREA BEACHES.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 558 PM CDT SUN JUL 20 2025
GUSTY SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS (AROUND 15-20 KNOTS, GUSTING TO 25-30
KNOTS) ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS, GRADUALLY
SUBSIDING BEYOND SUNSET DOWN TO ABOUT 10-15 KNOTS SUSTAINED
OVERNIGHT, THOUGH GUSTS UP TO 15-20 KNOTS MAY PERSIST AT KMFE.
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL AT ALL TAF SITES ALONG WITH
A MODERATE (30-40%) CHANCE FOR BRIEF INTERVALS OF MVFR CEILINGS
OVERNIGHT THROUGH A FEW HOURS FOLLOWING SUNRISE MONDAY MORNING.
BREEZY SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS RETURN THROUGHOUT MONDAY MORNING TO
SIMILAR SPEEDS AS TODAY BY THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1227 PM CDT SUN JUL 20 2025
OVERALL FAIR TO MODERATE SEAS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE NEXT WEEK,
WITH WAVE HEIGHTS BETWEEN 2-4 FEET AND LIGHT TO MODERATE
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE
CAUTION CONDITIONS BOTH IN THE LAGUNA MADRE AND IN THE GULF THROUGH
AT LEAST TUESDAY DUE TO ELEVATED WIND SPEEDS DUE TO A SLIGHTLY
TIGHTENED PRESSURE GRADIENT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 78 94 79 94 / 0 0 0 0
HARLINGEN 76 97 76 97 / 0 0 0 0
MCALLEN 79 100 79 100 / 0 0 0 0
RIO GRANDE CITY 77 102 77 101 / 0 0 0 0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 80 88 80 88 / 0 0 0 0
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 78 94 78 93 / 0 0 0 0
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...55-MM
LONG TERM....55-MM
AVIATION...65-IRISH
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