796
FXUS64 KBRO 120335
AFDBRO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1035 PM CDT MON AUG 11 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1016 PM CDT MON AUG 11 2025
SEASONABLY HOT TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE
WEEK, WITH HEAT INDICES LARGELY REMAINING BELOW HEAT ADVISORY
CRITERIA. DAILY LOW (20-30%) RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THE WORK
WEEK, WITH ISOLATED SEA BREEZE CONVECTION POSSIBLE EACH AFTERNOON.
THROUGH THE WEEK, THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGES OVER THE SOUTHEAST AND
SOUTHWEST WILL LIKELY STRENGTHEN AND SHIFT TOWARDS TEXAS. THIS
PATTERN WILL GRADUALLY BRING MORE SUBSIDENCE ALOFT BY THE WEEKEND,
LIKELY LIMITING RAIN CHANCES. HOWEVER, MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A
WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE DEVELOPING ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS
COAST THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY, WHICH COULD INCREASE RAIN CHANCES
FRIDAY.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 622 PM CDT MON AUG 11 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD. ONGOING
CONVECTION TO THE NORTH OF THE TAF SITES ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS, WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES CONTINUING
OVERNIGHT. WINDS LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT,
WITH WINDS PICKING UP OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
ANOTHER ROUND OF ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ALONG THE SEA BREEZE TUESDAY AFTERNOON. PROBABILITIES FOR
ANY IMPACTS AT TAF SITES ARE TOO LOW TO INCLUDE IN THE TAFS AT
THIS TIME.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1016 PM CDT MON AUG 11 2025
GENERALLY FAVORABLE MARINE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE DAILY LOW CHANCES FOR ISOLATED AFTERNOON
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY, WITH RAIN
CHANCES DIMINISHING OVER THE WEEKEND. OTHERWISE, SLIGHT SEAS AND
LIGHT TO MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL
THROUGH THE FORECAST.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 79 96 79 96 / 0 20 10 20
HARLINGEN 75 99 75 98 / 0 20 0 20
MCALLEN 79 102 79 102 / 10 20 10 20
RIO GRANDE CITY 78 103 78 103 / 10 10 10 10
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 81 89 81 89 / 0 10 10 20
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 78 94 78 93 / 0 10 10 20
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...60-BE
LONG TERM....60-BE
AVIATION...60
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