114
FXUS64 KBRO 121140 AAB
AFDBRO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
640 AM CDT TUE AUG 12 2025
..NEW AVIATION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1016 PM CDT MON AUG 11 2025
SEASONABLY HOT TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE
WEEK, WITH HEAT INDICES LARGELY REMAINING BELOW HEAT ADVISORY
CRITERIA. DAILY LOW (20-30%) RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THE WORK
WEEK, WITH ISOLATED SEA BREEZE CONVECTION POSSIBLE EACH AFTERNOON.
THROUGH THE WEEK, THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGES OVER THE SOUTHEAST AND
SOUTHWEST WILL LIKELY STRENGTHEN AND SHIFT TOWARDS TEXAS. THIS
PATTERN WILL GRADUALLY BRING MORE SUBSIDENCE ALOFT BY THE WEEKEND,
LIKELY LIMITING RAIN CHANCES. HOWEVER, MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A
WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE DEVELOPING ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS
COAST THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY, WHICH COULD INCREASE RAIN CHANCES
FRIDAY.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 620 AM CDT TUE AUG 12 2025
VFR CONDITIONS AND SOUTH-SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS TO PREVAIL OVER THE
CYCLE. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TUESDAY AFTERNOON ALONG THE SEA BREEZE, BUT TIMING AND LOCATION
ARE NOT CONFIDENT ENOUGH TO NOTE IN TAFS. IF SHOWERS PASS OVER AN
AIRFIELD, TEMPORARY MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1016 PM CDT MON AUG 11 2025
GENERALLY FAVORABLE MARINE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE DAILY LOW CHANCES FOR ISOLATED AFTERNOON
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY, WITH RAIN
CHANCES DIMINISHING OVER THE WEEKEND. OTHERWISE, SLIGHT SEAS AND
LIGHT TO MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL
THROUGH THE FORECAST.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 97 80 97 80 / 10 0 20 10
HARLINGEN 98 75 99 76 / 10 0 20 0
MCALLEN 103 79 102 79 / 10 10 20 0
RIO GRANDE CITY 103 77 103 78 / 10 10 10 0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 89 81 89 82 / 10 10 10 10
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 93 78 94 78 / 10 0 20 0
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...60-BE
LONG TERM....60-BE
AVIATION...69-HK
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