464
FXUS64 KBRO 120335
AFDBRO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1035 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1022 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AS
AMPLE MOISTURE AND WEAK IMPULSES MOVING OVER THE REGION WILL
CONTINUE TO BRING RAIN CHANCES TO DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND THE RGV,
ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN 20-50%
THROUGH SATURDAY, WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN POPS ON SUNDAY
(20-40%). A WEAK COASTAL TROUGH BEGINS TO SET UP LATE THIS WEEKEND
AND WILL LINGER THROUGH NEXT WEEK WITH RAIN CHANCES MONDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY OF 30-60%. THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF RAINFALL WILL
COINCIDE WITH THE HEATING OF THE DAY AND THE SEA BREEZE.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR NORMAL EACH DAY WITH HEAT INDICES OF
100 TO 105 DEGREES THROUGH SATURDAY, THEN FALLING TO UPPER 90S TO
AROUND 100 DEGREES FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. HEAT
RISK WILL BE GENERALLY MINOR (LEVEL 1 OUT OF 4) WITH POCKETS OF
MODERATE (LEVEL 2 OUT OF 4), MAINLY ACROSS THE LOWER AND MID
VALLEY, FOR THE FORECAST PERIOD.
A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED AT AREA BEACHES OVER THE
NEXT FEW DAYS.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 605 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. A FEW SHOWERS
STILL COULD LINGER NEAR MFE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. LIGHT
EASTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT BECOMING MORE
MODERATE ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON. RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN
FRIDAY MORNING LINGERING INTO THE AFTERNOON, BUT WITH LOW
CONFIDENCE OF ANY OF THIS ACTIVITY AFFECTING THE AERODROMES KEPT
AS VCSH/VCTS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1022 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
GENERALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS WITH MOSTLY LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS
WITH SEAS OF 2 TO 4 FEET AND 5 TO 7 SECOND PERIODS. RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE ON THE WATERS OFF THE LOWER
TEXAS COAST. ANY SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL LEAD TO
LOCALIZED INCREASED WINDS AND SEAS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 78 91 77 92 / 50 50 40 50
HARLINGEN 75 93 74 94 / 30 50 20 40
MCALLEN 77 96 77 96 / 30 50 20 40
RIO GRANDE CITY 74 95 75 95 / 20 50 10 40
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 81 88 82 88 / 50 50 40 40
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 77 90 77 90 / 40 50 30 40
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION/MARINE/AVIATION...68
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