724  
FXUS64 KBRO 151137 AAB  
AFDBRO  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX  
637 AM CDT MON SEP 15 2025  
   
..NEW AVIATION  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ISSUED AT 1042 PM CDT SUN SEP 14 2025  
 
PERSISTENT COASTAL TROUGHING, AN INFLUX OF MOISTURE, AND A SERIES  
OF UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVES WILL PRESENT DAILY RAIN CHANCES THROUGH  
THE PERIOD. PWAT VALUES LOOK TO REMAIN BETWEEN 1.5 AND 2 INCHES  
THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK, WHICH COULD SUPPORT BRIEF PERIODS OF  
HEAVY RAIN AND SOME PONDING OF WATER. THE COMBINATION OF FORCING  
FROM PASSING UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVES AND THE AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE  
LOOKS TO INCREASE THE CHANCE FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION  
TO AROUND 40-60% EACH AFTERNOON.  
 
HIGH TEMPERATURES LOOK TO REMAIN IN THE 90S THROUGH THE PERIOD,  
WITH LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID 70S.  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
 
(12Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 634 AM CDT MON SEP 15 2025  
 
GENERALLY VFR TAFS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE TAF CYCLE  
AT ALL TAF SITES. LIGHT TO MODERATE EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY  
WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS UP TO 20 KNOTS ARE  
POSSIBLE. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS MORNING  
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS WITH THE SEABREEZE.  
 
 
   
MARINE  
 
ISSUED AT 1042 PM CDT SUN SEP 14 2025  
 
DAILY RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD, WITH ISOLATED  
TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE OVER THE GULF  
WATERS. OTHERWISE, GENERALLY FAVORABLE MARINE CONDITIONS ARE  
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH SLIGHT TO MODERATE  
SEAS AND LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS..  
 
 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS  
 
BROWNSVILLE 92 77 91 76 / 50 20 50 50  
HARLINGEN 93 72 93 72 / 40 10 40 30  
MCALLEN 95 75 96 75 / 40 10 30 10  
RIO GRANDE CITY 95 72 95 72 / 30 10 20 10  
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 88 81 87 80 / 50 20 50 70  
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 90 77 90 75 / 40 10 50 50  
 
 
   
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
TX...NONE.  
GM...NONE.  
 
 
 
 
SHORT TERM...60  
LONG TERM....60  
AVIATION...64-KATZ  
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