713
FXUS64 KBRO 161110 AAB
AFDBRO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
610 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2025
..NEW AVIATION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1005 PM CDT MON SEP 15 2025
UNSETTLED WILL BE THE THEME THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. AFTER A
LACKADAISICAL TUESDAY, IN WHICH RELATIVELY LOW PRECIPITABLE WATER
(PW) CONTENT WILL RESULT IN PALTRY RAIN CHANCES, A MORE ACTIVE
WEATHER PATTERN WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED AND PERSIST. THIS WILL BE
DUE TO MORE ROBUST PW VALUES INTERACTING WITH DAYTIME HEATING, THE
EAST-TO-WEST MIGRATION OF THE DAYTIME SEABREEZE BOUNDARY, AND A
SERIES OF DISTURBANCES THAT WILL "RIDGE RIDE" 500 MB HIGH PRESSURE
CENTERED MORE OR LESS OVER NORTHWEST MEXICO.
TEMPERATURE-WISE, THE DAILY THREAT FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS,
ALONG WITH THE ASSOCIATED CLOUD COVER, WILL HAVE A DAMPENING
EFFECT, WITH VALUES MORE NEAR NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
FINALLY, WITH CONTINUED SLIGHTLY ELEVATED SEAS, A MODERATE RISK OF
RIP CURRENTS IS LIKELY FOR THE BEACHES ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS
COAST.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 604 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2025
GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD AT ALL TAF SITES. LIGHT EASTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE
DURATION OF THE PERIOD AS WELL. SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
POSSIBLE DURING THE LATE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ALONG THE
SEABREEZE.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1005 PM CDT MON SEP 15 2025
ELONGATED SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE ENTIRE GULF OF AMERICA
WILL ALSO BE THE DOMINANT FEATURE FOR THE LOWER TEXAS COAST FOR
THE PERIOD. GENERALLY MODERATE WINDS AND SEAS ARE FORECAST FOR
THE LOWER TEXAS COASTAL WATERS, WITH SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE
CAUTION AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOT LIKELY TO BE NEEDED.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 91 76 91 77 / 30 40 80 50
HARLINGEN 93 72 92 73 / 30 30 70 30
MCALLEN 96 76 95 76 / 10 10 60 20
RIO GRANDE CITY 96 71 96 73 / 10 0 40 10
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 88 79 87 80 / 30 60 80 50
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 90 75 89 77 / 30 50 80 40
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...64-KATZ
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